If the Cincinnati Reds want to make a splash in the NL contender pool, they'll need to play their cards right with asset management. So far, they've been slow to extend their young talent, and that's a problem.
With financial constraints keeping their payroll in the league's bottom third, the Reds can't afford to pay top dollar for free agents or retain their own stars once they hit the open market. This makes the extension game crucial, but it’s a tricky dance.
Nail it, and you can lock in talent at a bargain, avoiding salary spikes through arbitration. Miss, and you’re stuck with rising salaries for underperformers, blocking resources for truly deserving players.
Enter Nick Lodolo, the potential game-changer. Signing him to an extension could be the bold move the Reds need.
Lodolo, a 28-year-old lefty, finally showcased his potential with a mostly healthy 2025 season, catching the attention of the baseball world. He ranked 26th in The Athletic’s "Aces Project," a testament to his talent and newfound consistency. With another solid season, Lodolo could cement his status as one of the top aces in the game.
The Reds should strike while the iron's hot. Lodolo’s injury history might lower his asking price right now. Over four seasons, he’s averaged just 102 innings, but signing him now could be more budget-friendly than waiting for another healthy year.
Yes, there’s risk-Lodolo is on the IL to kick off 2026. But the good news is that his stint shouldn’t last long. His injury history, while daunting, lacks any major red flags like serious elbow or shoulder issues, or chronic conditions.
If past injuries drive down his price, an extension could be a savvy move for Cincinnati, stretching their budget while banking on Lodolo’s elite talent. The right deal could be a massive win for the Reds, proving that sometimes, fortune favors the bold.