Reds Face A Tough Decision On One Of Their Best Trade Chips

With the 2026 trade deadline approaching, the Reds face a pivotal decision on whether to capitalize on Nick Lodolo's high market value for future gains.

The Cincinnati Reds aren’t built to be buyers at the 2026 trade deadline unless they catch fire over the next month, and that makes this a natural time to think about selling.

The clearest name to shop is Nick Lodolo.

Lodolo just finished the best season of his MLB career in 2025, when the left-hander logged a career-high 156 2/3 innings, struck out 156 batters in 29 games, and posted a 3.33 ERA with a 1.07 WHIP. He hasn’t matched that level this year, but the recent signs are encouraging. In his last two starts, Lodolo hasn’t allowed a run, has given up only three hits, and has struck out 10.

That kind of stretch matters because Lodolo’s value is tied to both performance and timing. He won’t hit free agency until after the 2027 season, and the feeling here is that an extension is going to get expensive enough to make a deal difficult for Cincinnati. If that’s the case, the Reds’ best chance to maximize his trade return is now, when he’s pitching well and staying healthy.

Deadline markets have a way of inflating prices. Teams get desperate, bidding wars break out, and clubs willing to move a valuable arm at the right moment can clean up.

Milwaukee has made a habit of doing exactly that, even when it frustrates its own fans. The Brewers moved Corbin Burnes.

They moved Josh Hader. They moved Freddy Peralta.

The result: nine prospects in Baseball America’s Top 100. Nine.

The Reds are not the Brewers, but the lesson is obvious. If Cincinnati can sell high on Lodolo, it should.

He wouldn’t be the only name worth discussing, either. Tyler Stephenson, JJ Bleday, Brady Singer, Caleb Ferguson, Brock Burke, Eugenio Suarez, and Nathaniel Lowe are all players the Reds should at least listen on if the return makes sense. Singer, Stephenson, Lowe, Ferguson, and Burke are all set to become free agents after this season, and while rentals rarely bring back massive hauls, there’s no reason to keep them around if the team is out of the race.

Cincinnati has already seen how a smaller deal can turn into real value. The Reds got Hector Rodriguez and Jose Acuna for Tyler Naquin. That’s the point: you never know when a prospect is going to hit or when another club will pay more than expected.

If the Reds are serious about building for what comes next, they need to care less about how the move looks and more about what it can do for the organization down the line.

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