The Phillies already opened this three-game set the way they wanted, riding Zack Wheeler’s 14-strikeout night and enough early offense to take game one. Now the Reds get their chance to answer back on Wednesday night in Cincinnati, with first pitch set for 7:10 p.m. ET at Great American Ball Park.
This one comes with a different kind of spotlight, too: it’s on ESPN as an exclusive broadcast.
Philadelphia is sending Alan Rangel to the mound, and Cincinnati counters with Chase Burns in a matchup that puts two very different pitching resumes on display. Burns has been one of the National League’s most dominant arms in the first half, while Rangel is still carving out his place in the majors.
Burns enters his final start before the All-Star break with a 2.40 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP, 31 walks and 116 strikeouts over 97.2 innings. He’s already piled up 4.3 WAR, according to Baseball Reference, and after a rougher outing in Pittsburgh - his second start of the year in which he allowed more than two runs - he bounced back with a six-inning, two-run performance in Milwaukee last time out.
The numbers against Burns tell a clear story. Left-handed hitters have had more success against him this season, reaching for a better average, drawing walks at a healthy clip and doing real damage when they connect. Right-handers, on the other hand, have barely been able to do anything with him: low average, almost no walks and no power to speak of.
Burns has leaned heavily on a 97.9 mph four-seam fastball, pairing it with a slider and a changeup. His pitch mix has been 57% four-seam, 37% slider and 6% changeup.
Rangel’s path is much less established. The 28-year-old is making just his second MLB start, and he has only 27.0 big league innings to his name across the last two seasons. Most of his year has been spent in Triple-A with Lehigh Valley, where he posted a 3.99 ERA in 70.0 innings as a starter.
His recent big-league work has come in three appearances over his last three games, including two outings behind an opener and one start. He was sharp on June 22 and July 2, allowing just one earned run across 9.0 innings, but the middle outing was a tougher one: four runs in 4.0 innings against the Mets.
Rangel’s season-long splits are fairly even when you combine his Triple-A and MLB work, but his big-league numbers this year show a sharper divide. Lefties have posted an .831 OPS against him in 42 plate appearances, while righties are at .468 in 27 plate appearances.
He’s used a four-pitch mix between Triple-A and the majors: a 93.2 mph four-seam fastball, plus a curve, slider and changeup. His usage has been 43% four-seam, 11% curve, 18% slider and 28% changeup.
The lineups are set with the Phillies starting Bryce Harper at first, Kyle Schwarber at DH and J.T. Realmuto behind the plate, while Cincinnati rolls out Elly De La Cruz at short, Sal Stewart at third and Chase Burns as the starting pitcher.
The Reds also announced this afternoon that Will Benson cleared waivers and was outrighted to the minor leagues. Benson accepted the assignment and will remain in the organization.
Cincinnati’s farm system also came under scrutiny earlier today after Baseball America rated it among the worst in baseball, a development that doesn’t exactly brighten the outlook either in the short term or the long term.
And over at RedsMinorLeagues.com, there was also a look at Hector Rodriguez’s two-homer night from Tuesday, with a deeper dive into how different his approach has become in 2026.
In the division picture, Milwaukee leads at 58-33 with a 99.3% playoff chance, followed by Chicago at 51-40. St. Louis sits at 47-43, Pittsburgh at 47-45 and Cincinnati at 41-49 with a 1.7% playoff chance.
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