Reds Face A Bullpen Decision That Could Shape The Offseason

The Reds' offseason strategy may hinge on emulating the Brewers' bullpen blueprint as they consider the cost of retaining Emilio Pagan.

The Cincinnati Reds have a lot on their plate this offseason, and Emilio Pagan probably shouldn’t be near the top of the list.

Pagan gave the Reds real value over the last two seasons, especially after coming back from injury in 2026. But he’s now a free agent after turning down his $10 million player option, and keeping him would likely mean going beyond that number on a multi-year deal. For a team with bigger roster issues, that’s a tough sell.

Milwaukee just offered a pretty clear blueprint. As RedsInFour pointed out on X, the Brewers won the World Series with a bullpen built mostly from within.

Their best relievers were either inexpensive or still under team control, and they didn’t have to chase expensive veteran arms to build one of baseball’s best relief groups. That’s the part Cincinnati should be paying attention to.

The Brewers’ run wasn’t just about payroll efficiency, either. It showed that a team can develop a dominant bullpen by trusting its own arms and giving them a chance to grow into bigger roles. That’s the model the Reds should be trying to follow.

None of that changes what Pagan meant to Cincinnati. He was excellent over the last two seasons, and after coming off the injured list in July, he was even better.

His ERA was under two, which is about as good as it gets. But there’s a difference between appreciating a reliever’s work and committing serious money to a 36-year-old arm on a long deal.

That’s where the Reds have to be disciplined. They still need offense.

They still have to decide whether Tyler Stephenson comes back or they look for a catcher in free agency. And they need starting pitching help, especially with Hunter Greene set to miss the 2027 season and several starters taking a step back in 2026.

With that many holes, it’s hard to justify tying up a big chunk of payroll in an aging closer.

Pagan should get paid, and he probably will. It just doesn’t have to be by the Reds.

If Cincinnati wants to take a real step forward, the better move may be building its bullpen the way Milwaukee did: from the inside out. Joe Torres is in as the new pitching coach, and that gives the Reds a fresh chance to improve how they develop arms.

There are pitchers in the organization who need to make that leap, including Zach Maxwell, Luis Mey, and Connor Phillips. Each has elite stuff. Each has also been held back by command problems.

The Reds don’t need to copy the Brewers exactly. But they should absolutely be trying to build their pitching staff in that kind of mold.

Pagan was a strong piece for Cincinnati. If he wants multiple years and a bigger payday, though, the Reds should shake his hand and let him go.

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