The Reds need rotation help, and if they’re going to take a swing on upside this offseason, Zac Gallen looks like the kind of bet worth considering.
On paper, Cincinnati is probably shopping in the back end of the rotation. But with Andrew Abbott and Nick Lodolo both failing to meet expectations, the search for starters should not stop at low-cost innings eaters. If the Reds want more ceiling, they may have to chase a pitcher who has stumbled recently but once looked like one of the better starters in the league.
Gallen fits that description. From 2021 through 2024, he put together a run that placed him among baseball’s best starters. Over that stretch, his 3.41 ERA ranked 28th, his 13.6 fWAR was 11th, and his 663⅓ innings pitched ranked 16th in the majors.
But free agency did not go smoothly. In 2025, Gallen worked 33 starts and 192 innings, yet finished with a 4.83 ERA.
He was much better in the second half, but the Arizona Diamondbacks still made him a qualifying offer, which crushed his market. Before spring training, he ended up back in Arizona on a one-year, $22 million deal that essentially matched the qualifying offer.
2026 was even rougher. Gallen posted a 6.07 ERA, missed significant time with elbow inflammation, and was eventually moved out of the starting rotation for the final weeks of the season. That injury leaves open the possibility that, after an offseason to recover, he can get back to the version of himself he was before 2025.
The price tag should be much lower now. Spotrac projects him for a one-year, $7.3 million deal, which would make him a reasonable target for a Reds club hoping for stability and maybe more in the back of the rotation. The catch is that Cincinnati might be interested in Gallen - and Gallen might not be especially interested in Cincinnati.
That part goes back to a 2025 appearance on the Pardon My Take Podcast, when Gallen and teammate Merrill Kelly ripped Great American Ball Park and, in particular, the mound.
"Cincinnati's tough," Kelly said. "Cincinnati's pretty brutal. The ball flies, and the mound, I know they're supposed to have regulations on how high the mound is, but whatever they're doing, they're cheating for sure."
Gallen was more direct. "The mound is so flat," he said, before adding, "If you think about it, they could then try to acquire the pitchers that pitch best on that type of mound."
His comments suggest he’s not a fan of pitching on a flatter mound, though his results in Cincinnati haven’t been disastrous. He has made only four career starts at GABP, but in 24⅓ innings there, he posted a 3.70 ERA. Opponents hit .198 against him in those outings, although he did allow five home runs.
That home run issue may be the real concern. Earlier in his career, Gallen did a good job keeping the ball in the yard. But as he struggled in 2025, his HR/9 climbed to 1.45, and it jumped again this year to 1.62.
Still, this is the kind of market where both sides may have to settle. The Reds may not be able to shop for a pitcher with Gallen’s track record and upside at a price they like, and Gallen may not have many teams left making a strong push after two down years. If the fit ends up being mutual, it could be a pairing worth exploring.
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Bowden also suggested the Reds are likely to at least weigh trade possibilities again this offseason, which puts an uncomfortable spotlight on where the organization goes from here. Any serious conversation would surely start with a massive return, and the Dodgers have already been floated in speculative scenarios, but for now the bigger story is the pressure Cincinnati faces when a player this dynamic starts drawing that level of attention. [Read more 🡒]