The Cleveland Guardians are not built to spend like the big markets, and Steven Kwan sits right in the middle of that reality. He’s projected to make $11 million in his final year of arbitration, which makes him the kind of player Cleveland usually listens on. Instead, president Chris Antonetti says Kwan is staying put - and that decision could quietly help the Cincinnati Reds.
That may sound backwards at first. Kwan checks a lot of boxes for Cincinnati.
The Reds’ outfield production was a mess this past season, finishing at -5.3 wins above average, the third-worst mark in the majors. On paper, a contact-driven, elite defender like Kwan looks like an obvious answer.
But the price tag changes everything.
Kwan is one of the best bat-to-ball hitters in the game, and his glove is as good as it gets. He’s also moved toward a small-ball style that would line up with the Reds’ stated philosophy heading into 2027. Even so, getting him from Cleveland would likely require Cincinnati to give up several top prospects who are close to the majors, because the Guardians are in a playoff window and would treat him like a premium trade piece.
That’s where the Reds have to resist the temptation. Cam Collier, Tyson Lewis, Héctor Rodríguez and others could all be in the conversation, but moving players who could shape a young core for just one year of Kwan is not the kind of deal Nick Krall and the front office should be chasing.
There’s also the roster problem waiting on the other side. Cincinnati already has enough outfielders in the mix, and adding Kwan could block young players like Rodríguez and Carlos Jorge from getting the development time they need. And since the Reds probably wouldn’t be able to re-sign Kwan once he reaches free agency because of budget limitations, they’d risk giving up prospects for a short-term fix and then still being left with an outfield issue later.
It isn’t easy to tip your cap to an in-state rival when he holds onto a player with four straight Gold Gloves and 22 WAR over five seasons. But for the Reds, patience is the smarter play. Antonetti’s stance may keep Cleveland happy, and it may also spare Cincinnati from a deal that looks good in the moment and painful a year later.
In Other News...
Reds May Have Locked In Chase Burns At The Perfect Time
Chase Burns has already done enough in a Cincinnati uniform to make the front office feel good about betting on him early. After turning in a promising 2026 season with 154 innings, a 2.86 ERA and a 3.24 FIP, the right-hander has quickly gone from intriguing arm to a clear part of the Reds long-term plans, the kind of pitcher teams try to keep before the price climbs any higher.
The bigger question now is how the market around him will keep moving. Pitching extensions have a way of looking modest or massive depending on who signs next, and the Reds are already being measured against the next wave of NL Central arms, with the risk and reward of locking in a young starter always hanging in the background. For Cincinnati, the timing may end up looking sharp, but the true test of the contract will come as Burns keeps building on the foundation he laid last season. [Read more 🡒]
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Even with the Rule 5 Draft likely headed for postponement because of a possible lockout and the cancellation of the Winter Meetings, the Reds still have to sort through an important 40-man roster decision this winter. The usual deadline pressure may be cloudier than normal, but the front office is still expected to shield several prospects from being exposed, with Carlos Sanchez, Jay Allen II, Cody Adcock and Bryce Hubbart all in the mix as candidates for protection.
Carter Graham looks like the safest bet to get the call, which only sharpens the conversation around the rest of the class. Cam Collier is the biggest question mark in the group, and his status makes this more than a routine paperwork exercise for Cincinnati. Even if the calendar shifts, the roster math does not, and the Reds will have to decide which young players are worth carrying forward now rather than risking them elsewhere. [Read more 🡒]
Reds Could Have A Cheap Answer To Their Outfield Problem
The Reds are still looking for a clean answer in the outfield after last seasons group fell short, and the free-agent market at least offers a name that fits the kind of short-term gamble Cincinnati might prefer. Jim Bowden of The Athletic recently pointed to Taylor Ward as a possible match, noting that the fit could come on a one-year deal if the Reds want to patch the position without making a long commitment.
Ward brings a more complicated profile than a simple rebound candidate. He turned in a strong 2025 season, but 2026 was a rougher run after he was traded twice, and the late-season dip has raised real questions about what kind of production comes next and how much a team should be willing to pay for the bounce-back bet. For a Reds club trying to solve an obvious need without blocking its longer-term plans, that kind of profile is exactly the sort of name worth watching. [Read more 🡒]
