Joe Burrow Just Gave Bengals Fans A New MVP Argument

A groundbreaking analytic tool reveals just how Joe Burrow dominates as the NFL's top-performing quarterback, reshaping expectations for what 'success' looks like on the field.

Joe Burrow keeps showing up near the top of any quarterback conversation, and a new metric from The Athletic has him alone at the summit.

Austin Mock, who describes himself as an analytics nerd, built a stat called the “QB index,” or QBI, to judge quarterbacks apart from the rest of their team. The idea is simple enough: roll everything into one number that captures what a quarterback actually adds on each play. Mock says it works a lot like ESPN’s QBR because both are designed to give every quarterback in the league a common scoreboard.

Burrow didn’t just grade well in 2025. He finished first in the NFL with a QBI of 132.

Only two other quarterbacks cleared 120, and the lowest mark in the league belonged to division rival Shedeur Sanders of the Cleveland Browns at 47. The scale is centered on 100, which represents league-average play.

What makes Burrow’s result stand out is that QBI is built to account for things that usually complicate quarterback evaluation. It doesn’t just track passes, rushes, sacks and turnovers. It also tries to weigh the pressure a quarterback faces, along with the quality of his offensive line and receivers.

On paper, that should have worked against Burrow a little. QBI gives and takes credit based on receiver production, including drops and expected yards after catch, or YACOE/Cmp. And Burrow is throwing to Tee Higgins and Ja’Marr Chase, a pair that would seem to boost the numbers around him rather than the quarterback himself.

But the Bengals’ receiving production didn’t drag him down. Cincinnati finished 12th in the league in YACOE/Cmp, and the team has been a top-10 group in that category in each season from 2018 through 2025, one of only two NFL teams to do that. Chase, of course, keeps turning ordinary touches into chaos, including a quick bubble screen he turned into a 70-yard touchdown.

Here are the dots on another absurd Ja'Marr Chase YAC TD.

Once he broke loose, there was no catching him. pic.twitter.com/7MglF5TUmo

  • Ben Baby (@Ben_Baby) October 6, 2024

If the receiving corps was supposed to complicate Burrow’s case, the offensive line also did not hold him back the way it often has in the past. In 2025, he spent most of the season with a line that had settled in under new offensive line coach Scott Peters. Over the final 11 weeks, Cincinnati’s line ranked fourth in the NFL in pass-block efficiency, and the Bengals allowed only seven sacks in that span, also fourth-best in the league.

That leaves the film component as another big reason Burrow separated from the field. Mock said QBI also leans on the blend of analytics and film, and he pointed to PFF grades as part of that process. Burrow finished second in PFF grading in 2025, just 0.1 points behind Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matt Stafford.

That kind of evaluation adds context that raw numbers can miss. A pressure is a pressure in the box score, but not every rush threat feels the same when it’s coming from someone like Rams edge rusher Myles Garrett compared with a 180-pound nickel corner.

Burrow’s PFF profile got a huge lift from his ball security. Even though he played only eight games because of injury, his sub-1% turnover-worthy play rate was the first in PFF history for a quarterback with more than 250 dropbacks. That also feeds into QBI and helps explain why his overall number landed where it did.

Looking ahead to 2026, Burrow’s hold on the top spot could depend on the Bengals defense taking the step they’re expected to take. If that happens, he may not have to play as much hero ball, which helps him in these metrics. He would be forced into fewer tight-window throws if the defense is doing its part, and if he stays healthy, he has a chance to have his best.

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Higgins also pointed to the way Zac Taylor approaches the grind, with the coaching staff treating every opponent like a real test instead of leaning on preseason reputation. That matters for Cincinnati, because schedule rankings based on past win percentage or Vegas forecasts can be useful shorthand, but they are still only guesses until the season starts and teams reveal who they really are. [Read more 🡒]