Can Arizona Slow Cincinnatis Punishing Ground Attack In Big 12 Opener

With Arizona looking to bounce back from a rocky start in Big 12 play, their matchup against Cincinnati's formidable run game will be the ultimate test for both teams' 2023 aspirations.

Arizona heads into its first Big 12 home game of the season with momentum from a 3-0 finish to the non-conference slate, but the real test arrives now.

Brent Brennan’s team closed that stretch by beating Washington State in Pullman last Saturday, then shifted straight into league play with the kind of urgency that comes with an early conference hole. Arizona is already 0-1 in Big 12 action after the Week 2 loss to BYU in Provo, and the Wildcats are trying to avoid their first 0-2 start in league play since 2021.

Cincinnati, meanwhile, comes to Tucson unbeaten and carrying a very different profile. The Bearcats are making their first-ever trip to Tucson, and they bring one of the most punishing rushing attacks in the country with them. Cincinnati is averaging 270 rushing yards per game, which ranks seventh nationally and third among power conference teams behind West Virginia and UCLA.

Gi'Bran Payne, a transfer from Notre Dame, has been the headliner on the ground with 368 rushing yards through four games. He and Cole Tabb are the kinds of backs who can turn a game into a grind, and Arizona’s run defense has already shown some cracks up front. If Cincinnati keeps finding movement on the ground, it could put serious pressure on the Wildcats’ defense to hold up possession after possession.

The Bearcats have also been careful with the football. They’ve turned it over only twice this season, both on lost fumbles. That efficiency makes them even tougher to deal with if they can stay ahead of the chains.

Arizona does have a few factors working in its favor. Cincinnati has not played a road game yet this season, and a late kickoff in a hostile environment could create problems for quarterback JC French, who transferred from Georgia State in the Sun Belt.

The Bearcats also enter as one of the most penalized teams in the country, while Brennan’s Wildcats are described as a veteran, disciplined group. In a game expected to be tight, that kind of edge can matter.

The teams have met only once before, in Cincinnati last year, when Arizona won 30-24. Noah Fifita threw for 294 yards and a touchdown in that one, and Kedrick Reescano added 94 rushing yards and a score on 13 carries.

Arizona’s betting numbers have not been kind so far. The Wildcats are 0-4 against the spread, while Cincinnati is 3-1.

Game time is 8:00 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, Oct. 3.

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