The AL Central has spent all season looking like a race that refuses to settle, and now the two clubs sitting at the top are about to spend four games trying to separate themselves.
The White Sox and Guardians open a key series Thursday at Progressive Field after Chicago took the first meeting between the teams last week at Rate Field, winning three one-run games in a row. That kind of tight, tense baseball is exactly what both sides seem built for right now.
Chicago enters at 45-40, Cleveland at 45-42, and both teams have earned their place near the top by leaning on young talent, veteran guidance and enough pitching to keep them in just about every game. Guardians starter Parker Messick, who struck out 10 in Cleveland’s 2-1 loss on June 23, said the matchup feels familiar.
“They’re a young team, very similar to us,” said Guardians starter Parker Messick, who logged a career-high 10 strikeouts in the Chicago's 2-1 win over Cleveland on June 23. “They have their veteran leadership and then a lot of young guys. It's kind of how we play.
"They play that same kind of baseball, and it's super fun to watch, and it's fun to play against as a team that does something similar.”
The pitching lines up like this: Thursday has RHP Davis Martin (9-3, 3.00 ERA) against RHP Slade Cecconi (4-6, 4.18 ERA); Friday brings LHP Anthony Kay (6-3, 4.50 ERA) versus RHP Gavin Williams (9-4, 3.81 ERA); Saturday features RHP Sean Burke (5-4, 3.69 ERA) opposite LHP Parker Messick (7-5, 2.85 ERA); and Sunday closes with RHP Erick Fedde (3-6, 4.41 ERA) against RHP Tanner Bibee (2-9, 3.69 ERA).
Both clubs are dealing with major absences in the middle of the lineup. For the White Sox, Munetaka Murakami has been out five weeks with a right hamstring strain.
The power-hitting first baseman has 20 home runs and a .938 OPS, and manager Will Venable said in Baltimore there is still no set return date even though Murakami has resumed batting practice and running. Rookie Jacob Gonzalez has handled the spot well in his place.
Cleveland’s missing pieces are even more glaring. José Ramírez is on the 10-day injured list after surgery for a left hamate fracture on June 16, with a return window of five to seven weeks.
He had his stitches removed Tuesday, but he remains weeks away. Angel Martínez is also out after suffering a non-displaced left foot fracture on June 16, with a timetable of four to six weeks.
The division picture still feels wide open beyond the top two. The Twins are 42-46 and the Tigers are 38-49, but both are still hanging around.
Detroit’s recent sweep of the Yankees showed what the Tigers can look like when their starting pitching is locked in, even if they still sit eight games behind Chicago. The White Sox also have more talent on the way in the system, including left-hander Hagen Smith, Chicago’s No. 4 prospect and No. 56 overall according to MLB Pipeline, plus right-handers Tanner McDougal and Shane Smith.
They are also expected to be active in some fashion before the Aug. 3 Trade Deadline.
Chicago’s climb has been fueled by a strong June, even with a brutal schedule that included the Phillies, Dodgers, Yankees, Braves and those first three games against Cleveland. The White Sox went 13-12 in the month, won that opening series over the Guardians with Sam Antonacci’s walk-off single against Cade Smith in Game 1, and moved into first place. The offense has kept rolling despite Murakami’s absence, with Colson Montgomery driving the power, Miguel Vargas delivering across the board and Kyle Teel back behind the plate.
Martin will take the ball for the opener after Chicago’s 6-1 loss to Baltimore on Wednesday. He has allowed 31 earned runs in 93 innings, though 15 of those came in two starts against the Twins and Yankees. The White Sox have been one of the best home teams in baseball at 28-14, but they are 17-26 on the road, and Progressive Field has not been a kind stop for them.
Cleveland, meanwhile, is trying to steady itself after a rough June that ended 10-15. Ramírez, Chase DeLauter and Martínez all landed on the injured list during the month, and the offense paid for it. The Guardians scored just 87 runs in June, which ranked 29th in the majors.
That kind of slide has been familiar enough for Cleveland to remember. The Guardians went 9-16 in June last season, then dropped their final four games of the month as part of a 10-game losing streak that left them 15 1/2 games behind Detroit.
Manager Stephen Vogt was asked Wednesday whether July can really feel like a reset. His answer pointed to the mood around the club.
“I think it’s what your team needs in that moment. I definitely think we're happy it’s July 1.
That was a tough month. We went through a lot.
It seems like we did last year [in June, too].”
In Other News...
White Sox May Try A Surprising Plan With A Top Pitching Prospect
Tanner McDougal is getting close to pitching again, which gives the White Sox another important arm to monitor as they think about how best to handle one of their higher-upside young pitchers. The organization has been patient with the right-hander while he works back from a flexor strain, and his return comes at a time when Chicago is still sorting through long-term plans for its pitching pipeline.
What makes McDougal especially interesting is the possibility that his next step might not be the straight line most prospects take. The White Sox have precedent for easing talented arms in through relief before stretching them out later, and there is at least some logic to that path for a pitcher whose workload still needs to be managed. Whether that becomes a short-term bridge or something more meaningful for his development is the question hanging over his comeback. [Read more 🡒]
Two White Sox Pitching Rehabs Just Became Worth Watching
Two White Sox pitching rehabs are suddenly worth tracking in Winston-Salem, where Shane Smith and Tanner McDougal both opened their assignments with scoreless work for the Dash. Smith handled two innings without allowing a walk or hit batter, while McDougal came back with a clean inning of his own and two strikeouts in three batters faced, a tidy pair of first steps after time away from game action.
For a Chicago club still sorting through arms, the timing matters as much as the results. Smiths return gives the White Sox another chance to monitor a pitcher trying to reestablish himself, and McDougals outing arrives with the possibility that his path back could be shaped by what the organization needs most in the final weeks. The next few appearances should show whether these are just encouraging first reps or the beginning of something more useful for the big league picture. [Read more 🡒]
White Sox Could Be Pulled Into A Brutal Crosstown Pitching Chase
The starting-pitching market around the deadline always gets tricky, and this one may get especially awkward on the South Side. The Cubs are looking to shore up a rotation that has been battered by injuries and uneven performances, and ESPNs David Schoenfield has pointed to one of the more intriguing arms on the board as a possible fit. Even with a 4.81 ERA, the right-hander is still being viewed as one of the better available starters, which says plenty about how thin the rental market can be this time of year.
For the White Sox, the timing matters because they are in the same conversation for the same kind of help. Any pursuit of rotation depth can quickly turn into a race, and the possibility of both Chicago clubs chasing the same arm only adds another layer to a deadline that already figures to be busy. The question now is whether the Sox are willing to push hard enough to keep pace if the market starts moving faster than expected. [Read more 🡒]