Cubs Face One Offseason Decision That Could Reshape Their Rotation

As the Chicago Cubs sort through their straightforward 2027 roster decisions, securing Clay Holmes should top their priority list to boost their rotation strength.

The Cubs’ offseason checklist has a few moving parts, but the early decisions mostly point in one direction. Before the calendar flips to December 1, Chicago has a round of option calls to make, and most of them feel pretty cut and dry.

On the mutual-option side, the Cubs are carrying four players into 2027: Matthew Boyd at $15 million, Carson Kelly at $7.5 million, Caleb Thielbar at $6 million and Hunter Harvey at $8 million. Mutual options rarely get exercised, and they usually function as a way to push money down the road while both sides expect the player to reach free agency. That’s the likely outcome here as well.

The club-option group is smaller, and it may be even simpler. Colin Rea has a $7.5 million club option, Javier Assad checks in at $3.3 million, and Jacob Webb is attached to a $2.5 million club option.

Rea’s recent move to mop-up duty makes it feel likely the Cubs will pass on that one. Webb’s price tag looks like an easy keep for Jed Hoyer and company.

Assad is the one real judgment call, since the Cubs could decline the option and still tender him a contract for 2027 depending on his arbitration projection. Even then, he remains under team control through 2028.

The most important name in all of this is Clay Holmes. He’s the only Cub with a player option for 2027, and if he stays healthy and keeps pitching the way he has in the rotation, the $12 million figure seems like a formality to turn down. That would send him into free agency, where he could wind up as the best starting pitcher available not named Tarik Skubal.

That’s exactly why the Cubs need to be ready. If free agency gets moving fast before a possible lockout on December 1, as happened the last time the CBA expired, Holmes should be near the top of Chicago’s list. He fits the rotation, he fits the defense behind him, and with the Cubs’ need for pitching, he would be a straightforward way to stabilize the staff.

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