The Cubs’ offseason is already taking shape, and Jed Hoyer made the direction plain: pitching is the center of everything.
Chicago’s season ended Wednesday with a lopsided Wild Card Series sweep at the hands of San Diego, a two-game exit that finished with the Cubs being outscored 12-1. After that, Hoyer met with reporters and pointed straight at the area that needs the most work.
“We’re leaning on our defense too heavily, and the overall quality of the pitching has to improve. … When I think about our offseason, when I think about seasons to come, that has to be the goal, to get our pitching infrastructure and pitching quality to the level of our position player group,” Hoyer said.
“It’s safe to say that the biggest part of our focus going into the offseason is going to be on pitching. Whether that’s 100-to-0, what that ratio is going to be, has not been determined yet.
But certainly, the great majority of our focus is going to be on pitching acquisition.”
That’s not hard to understand after the way this roster was built. The Cubs had one of the strangest statistical profiles in baseball this year, pairing a strong offense and elite defense with a pitching staff that lagged badly behind.
Mike Petriello of MLB.com noted in mid-September that Chicago may have had the best offense and team defense in the sport while also running out one of its weakest pitching groups. The result was a club that finished in the middle of the pack in overall run prevention despite all those Gold Glove-caliber defenders.
Cubs pitchers ranked 23rd in strikeout rate and gave up the most home runs in the National League. Only the A’s allowed more than Chicago’s 231.
The front office did try to patch things together during the season. In late June, the Cubs traded for David Peterson, then added Clay Holmes, Kevin Gausman and reliever Ryan Zeferjahn at the deadline.
That group is far from settled going forward, though. The starters are all impending free agents if Holmes turns down his $12MM player option, and Shota Imanaga and Matthew Boyd are also headed toward the market through mutual options.
There are also real health questions baked into the rotation picture. Justin Steele is expected to have a normal offseason, but he hasn’t appeared in an MLB game since April 2025 after elbow surgery.
Ben Brown is coming off a season-ending neck injury. Cade Horton had Tommy John surgery in April and, in the best-case scenario, is looking at a second-half return.
That leaves the Cubs staring at a pitching market where they’ll be tied to nearly every notable starter available. They should also be in the mix for major trade targets such as Reid Detmers, MacKenzie Gore and Drew Rasmussen. Tarik Skubal will surely come up in fan conversations, though landing him would likely mean paying more than twice the biggest contract in franchise history - the eight-year, $184MM deal Jason Heyward signed a decade ago.
The bullpen needs attention too, and not a little of it. Aaron Civale, Caleb Thielbar, Trent Thornton and Hunter Harvey are free agents.
Colin Rea and Jacob Webb are facing borderline club option decisions, and Webb finished the year in rough fashion. Phil Maton didn’t give the Cubs much in his two-year deal, Zeferjahn was up and down after the trade, and Daniel Palencia, who opened the season as the closer, had trouble missing bats while dealing with an elbow injury.
Shelby Miller and Maton are both hoped to be back from injury, but even then, the late-inning group remains thin.
Hoyer’s history suggests the Cubs won’t go overboard on bullpen spending, but the need is obvious. Even so, the organization has not ruled out making a more aggressive move if the right arm is available. The Cubs were reportedly runners-up with a four-year offer to Tanner Scott two offseasons ago, which at least shows they’re willing to stretch when they believe in the pitcher.
The lineup won’t come through this winter untouched, either. Seiya Suzuki is expected to reject a qualifying offer and could wind up out of Chicago on a four-year deal from a team that is more heavily focused on offense.
Ian Happ is a less likely qualifying offer candidate after a quiet final four months. If both players depart, the Cubs will need at least one outfielder from outside the organization.
There’s also turnover coming behind the plate and on the bench. Carson Kelly, Owen Ayers and Miguel Amaya were part of that mix, while fourth outfielder Tyrone Taylor and bench bat Michael Conforto also filled useful roles and are set to hit free agency. With so many players reaching the end of their deals, Hoyer said the roster is going to look different.
“We’re not going to be able to bring back all of them. That’s clear,” Hoyer said of the team’s free agent class.
“We can’t retain everyone. The team’s going to look and feel different next year.
… We do have a lot of good players that are going to be free agents and we’ll be in touch.”
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