The Cubs got the kind of night that should have been comfortable, then somehow turned into a full-on stress test anyway.
Chicago beat Baltimore 9-7 on Wednesday to win the series, improve to 52-40, and set itself up for a chance at a sweep Thursday afternoon. The offense did its part in a big way, launching five home runs. The bullpen, though, kept the door cracked by allowing three of its own on the other side.
Colin Rea picked up his seventh win, and the game flipped after Pete Alonso put a ball off him in the bottom of the third to give the Orioles the lead. Chicago answered with power in bunches, including a huge night from Pete Crow-Armstrong.
Crow-Armstrong reached 20 home runs in the third inning when he got under Dean Kremer’s splitter and sent it to right field for a 1-0 lead.
Back-to-back 20-HR/20-SB seasons for Pete Crow-Armstrong! pic.twitter.com/8x70dpYQSu
He wasn’t finished. After Michael Conforto and Carson Kelly each hit solo homers to tie things at 3-3 in the fifth, Crow-Armstrong jumped on another Kremer splitter and drove it deep again, this time putting the Cubs in front 4-3.
what's better than 20 home runs?21 home runs. pic.twitter.com/EIhTXcJWD1
That pushed Crow-Armstrong to 21 homers, and the numbers around him are starting to look outrageous. He’s on pace for 37 home runs and 41 stolen bases, with his fWAR up to 5.8. If he keeps this up, he’d join Sammy Sosa as the only Cubs with multiple 30/30 seasons.
The bigger picture is just how complete Crow-Armstrong has looked in a Cubs uniform. At 24, he’s producing at a level that keeps showing up in every part of the game, and he did it again Wednesday in a way that was impossible to miss.
Chicago kept piling on in the fifth and then blew the game open in the seventh when Seiya Suzuki crushed a three-run homer to make it 9-3. At that point, the Cubs looked like they had put it away.
Not quite.
Drew Pomeranz, 37, came in and allowed two runs, including Tyler O’Neil’s solo homer in the bottom of the seventh. Trent Thornton entered to finish off that inning, but Caleb Thielbar then gave up two more solo shots in the eighth, cutting the lead to 9-7 and turning what had been a six-run cushion into a save situation.
Jacob Webb finally settled things in the ninth with three straight groundouts to earn his fourth save. The final batter came with an added wrinkle, too, after a fan ran onto the field in Baltimore.
Fan got onto the field in Baltimore during the final at-bat of the game pic.twitter.com/x2nrYQrr4A
The Cubs still got the result, and the night was another reminder of how much their offense has carried them. The problem is that the pitching staff has had a hard time keeping the ball in the yard.
With just under 350 innings, Cubs relievers own the highest HR/FB rate in baseball at 14.5. Their league-leading 76.8% left on base rate has helped mask some of that damage, but the bullpen’s -0.5 fWAR is a real concern.
Injuries are part of the issue. The Cubs have only gotten 19 games from closer Daniel Palencia and have leaned on veterans like Pomeranz and Thielbar. There’s at least some reason for optimism, though, if the rotation gets healthier and eases the pressure on the relief group.
The Marquee broadcast provided updates on Edward Cabrera and Jameson Taillon, both of whom are aiming to return after the All-Star break. The Cubs also announced that Justin Steele, dealing with a flexor strain, has been cleared to throw, with mound work expected to begin the first week of August.
Cubs’ Justin Steele (flexor strain) was cleared to move forward with throwing yesterday.Steele will start throwing off mound first week of Aug. but time is against him to return as SP this year.Counsell: “Stretching out as a starter is really not realistic with the calendar.”
That timetable makes a rotation return this season sound unlikely, but Steele could still be useful in another role. The Cubs will take any help they can get, and Craig Counsell having one more arm available would matter.
With Cabrera, Taillon, Steele, and the possibility of additions before the August 3 trade deadline, there’s at least some hope for the group.
Chicago now goes for the sweep Thursday before opening a three-game series with the Reds to finish the first half.
In Other News...
Astros Already See Cubs Tucker Trade Return As Core Piece
Cam Smith has already given the Astros something to think about after coming over in the Kyle Tucker trade, and the early returns have been strong enough to push his name into a bigger conversation. The young outfielder has looked like more than a throw-in from Houstons side of the deal, and around the league there is already curiosity about whether the Astros should try to get ahead of the market and talk long-term security before the price climbs.
There is no immediate deadline, since Smith remains under club control for years, but that has not stopped the speculation from starting. The debate also fits a familiar Astros backdrop, with the organization still living with the reality of not having been able to lock up Jeremy Pena long term, which makes Smiths situation feel even more notable as Houston weighs the upside of certainty against the risk of moving too soon. [Read more 🡒]
Cardinals Just Sent The Cubs A Brutal Trade Deadline Warning
The Cardinals are making a clear statement about where they think their future is headed, and the timing matters for the Cubs. By locking up rookie second baseman JJ Wetherholt on an eight-year deal, St. Louis is showing real confidence in a young core that has started to look more like a foundation than a placeholder, which is not the kind of posture Chicago can afford to ignore with the trade deadline looming.
For the Cubs, the message is less about one player than the broader direction of the division. If the Cardinals are willing to commit early to their emerging talent, they are signaling that they believe the rebuild is turning a corner, and that should sharpen Chicagos urgency to act while there is still time to strengthen its own roster. [Read more 🡒]
Cubs Could Revisit A Familiar Deadline Arm With One Huge Catch
The Cubs are still hunting for starting pitching help as the trade deadline approaches, and Michael King remains a name worth circling because of the way he fits the market. Chicago has shown interest in the Padres right-hander before, and his work this season has kept him in the conversation as a pitcher who could still matter in a rotation chase.
The catch is the same one that has made him a tricky fit all along: any deal would have to account for a contract that is far from straightforward, along with the possibility that King could be headed back into free agency soon. If San Diego decides to sell, the Cubs could revisit a familiar target, but the cost in money and long-term uncertainty may be what keeps this from becoming a simple deadline fit. [Read more 🡒]