Utah and BYU keep showing up in the same place in this week’s bowl chatter: inside the College Football Playoff field.
That’s the common thread across seven different projections released this week, all of which put both Big 12 rivals in the 12-team playoff picture. One of them even maps out a potential Utah-BYU rematch on the CFP stage if the season breaks the right way.
The Utes enter the final week of October as the Big 12’s only unbeaten team, sitting at No. 6 after last Saturday’s 21-13 win over then-No. 14 Houston. That pushed Utah to 7-0 overall and 4-0 in league play.
BYU took its first loss of the season the same day, falling 39-31 to UCF in double overtime. The Cougars are now 6-1 overall and 3-1 in Big 12 play, but their win over then-No. 2 Notre Dame still gives their playoff case some real weight.
With the two teams set to meet Nov. 7, there’s a believable path in these projections for both to stay on track and come out as the Big 12’s playoff representatives.
Here’s how the major projections sorted out this week:
ESPN’s Kyle Bonagura has BYU opening the playoff as the No. 7 seed, hosting No. 10 seed Wake Forest in a first-round game. Utah is slotted much higher, at No. 4, facing No.
5 Georgia in the quarterfinals. Bonagura’s full path has Utah beating Georgia, then losing to No. 1 seed Miami in the Sugar Bowl, while BYU is projected to knock off Wake Forest before falling to No. 2 seed Ohio State.
ESPN’s Mark Schlabach is even more direct about the rivalry angle. He has BYU as the No. 9 seed playing at No. 8 Utah, with the Utes winning that first-round matchup and moving on before losing to No. 1 seed Miami in the quarterfinals.
The Athletic’s Scott Dochterman places BYU at No. 10, heading to Alabama, while Utah lands at No. 5 and hosts No. 12 Oregon State. In that bracket, the winner of BYU-Alabama would meet No. 2 seed Ohio State in the Rose Bowl, and the winner of Utah-Oregon State would face No. 4 seed Miami in the Fiesta Bowl.
On3’s Brett McMurphy gives Utah another home playoff game, pegging the Utes as the No. 5 seed against No. 12 Boise State.
BYU is projected as the No. 11 seed at No. 6 Kentucky.
McMurphy has Utah beating Boise State and then losing to No. 4 UCLA in the Fiesta Bowl.
CBS Sports’ Brad Crawford keeps Utah in the quarterfinal round as the No. 3 seed, where the Utes would face No. 11 Notre Dame in the Rose Bowl.
BYU is projected as the No. 8 seed hosting No. 9 LSU in a first-round matchup.
College Football News’ Pete Fiutak slots BYU as the No. 6 seed hosting No. 11 Tennessee, while Utah is No. 8 and hosts No. 9 LSU.
Athlon Sports’ Steve Lassan is the only one of the seven to give BYU a quarterfinal slot right away, placing the Cougars at No. 4 against No. 5 Indiana in the Fiesta Bowl.
Utah, meanwhile, is projected as the No. 9 seed playing at No. 8 Kentucky.
The rest of the Big 12 projections this week were spread across the bowl slate, with schools like Arizona, Arizona State, Baylor, Cincinnati, Houston, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, UCF and West Virginia popping up in matchups ranging from the Sun Bowl to the Independence Bowl, and from the Alamo Bowl to the Armed Forces Bowl.
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Week 8 turned into a rough reminder of how quickly the Big 12 picture can shift, with BYU and Texas Tech both taking damaging losses just as the conference race was starting to come into focus. Those setbacks matter far beyond a single Saturday, because both teams had been building toward a College Football Playoff push and suddenly have much less room for error. Add in Baylors decision to fire Dave Aranda after a close loss to Kansas, and the league already feels like it is moving in several directions at once.
At the top, Utah is still unbeaten and sitting alone atop the Big 12 after its win over Houston, which only adds to the pressure on the rest of the contenders chasing it. The next round of games now carries even more weight, especially with Arizona and Texas Tech set for a key matchup that could reshape the standings again. For BYU, the lesson is hard to miss: in this league, a bad weekend can change the conversation fast, and the margin between contender and also-ran is getting thinner by the week. [Read more 🡒]
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For BYU, the next stretch is about how quickly it can respond and whether it can turn an early stumble into a useful reference point instead of a lingering issue. The matchup ahead brings the kind of Big 12 pressure that can reveal a lot in a hurry, and after the first loss, the Cougars no longer have the luxury of being an unknown. [Read more 🡒]
