College Football Playoff positioning is about to get a serious shake-up, and Week 5 feels like the kind of Saturday that can redraw the map in a hurry. With October here and a long list of teams still trying to keep their automatic-qualifier hopes from slipping away, there’s a real chance this weekend becomes a true separator before the dust settles.
That’s the backdrop as the bracket enters Week 5, with a full slate of games ready to move things around quickly.
Boise State is marking the 20th anniversary of its Fiesta Bowl win over Oklahoma, a reminder of how long ago that moment was. The Broncos do not appear to have much trouble ahead in their Pac-12 home opener, but Ohio State is walking into a far more dangerous setup with a trip to Kinnick. The Buckeyes can at least be relieved it is not a night game against a potential CFP contender Iowa, though they still have to brace for a tense, low-scoring road fight on Saturday.
Houston has had the benefit of extra time before heading to TCU, and that matchup looks like one the Cougars should handle comfortably based on where the two Big 12 contenders have been trending lately. Even so, it is still a conference road game against a solid opponent. Florida faces something similar at Missouri, where expectations are now squarely on the Gators as they try to navigate another tricky road spot.
Alabama is also under the microscope. Saturday’s trip to Mississippi State should offer a clearer read on whether the Crimson Tide are back in true CFP-contender form, especially with the challenge of the cowbells and the task of slowing down Kamario Taylor. On the other sideline, Curt Cignetti did not sound thrilled with his team’s showing against Northwestern last week, and that kind of frustration does not exactly bode well for Rutgers.
Ole Miss is dealing with a different kind of aftermath. The loss to Florida is going to sit with the Rebels for a while before they can try to move on next week against Vandy. Missouri, meanwhile, draws what amounts to a breather against an in-state opponent in Death Valley, though the Tigers probably won’t mind given what waits in their next six games.
Notre Dame comes in off one of its most complete wins of the season, and now the question is whether that level of play travels to North Carolina. Wet conditions could be a factor throughout the Carolinas on Saturday, and the matchup between C.J.
Carr and Bill Belichick will be one of the more intriguing elements to follow. Still, Notre Dame’s run game may end up shaping the outcome more than anything else.
Miami has a chance to make a statement of its own in the ACC race, but it will have to do it the hard way. If the Hurricanes are going to keep pushing toward that goal, they’ll need a convincing performance in bad weather, with rain and the possibility of heavy thunderstorms in the forecast, against a Clemson crowd looking for a spark under Dabo Swinney.
Vanderbilt’s game carries its own odd wrinkle. Jared Curtis would need to actually play for it to become the Jared Curtis Bowl, and even if the injured quarterback does suit up, the Bulldogs defense has started the season playing well enough to make life difficult for him either way.
Texas is off this week before its annual trip to Dallas for Red River. That game has a habit of producing surprises regardless of the records involved, so Steve Sarkisian and company know better than to treat the golden hat trip lightly heading into a must-win showdown with Oklahoma.
In Other News...
BYU Won At TCU But A Bigger Concern Just Took Over
BYU left Fort Worth with a win, but the bigger takeaway from the 17-10 victory at TCU was how hard the Cougars had to work for every yard. The offense never really found its rhythm, finishing with just 216 yards while dealing with injuries to key players, and for long stretches it was the defense that kept BYU in control.
Bear Bachmeiers late touchdown run supplied the margin, but the performance also raised a broader question about how close this team is to the level it expected to reach before the season. A road win in the Big 12 is never easy, yet BYU will likely need a cleaner showing on offense if it wants to keep pace with those preseason expectations. [Read more 🡒]
Sonny Dykes Said What BYU Keeps Doing Is A Real Problem
TCU came away from its 17-10 loss to BYU with plenty to feel good about on defense, but not nearly enough on the scoreboard. The Horned Frogs held the Cougars to 17 points and just 62 passing yards, yet still dropped to 0-2 in Big 12 play for the first time since 2013 because the offense could only manage one touchdown.
Sonny Dykes pointed to the obvious issue afterward: the Horned Frogs have to be better on offense if they want to get out of the early hole. He also gave BYU credit for the way Bear Bachmeier helped move the ball on the ground, another reminder that the Cougars keep finding ways to stress opponents even when the passing game is limited. [Read more 🡒]
BYUs Gritty TCU Win Changed The Ceiling Debate
BYUs rain-soaked win at TCU did more than add another road victory to the ledger. It offered a reminder of how much the Cougars can lean on defense and discipline when the conditions get ugly, and it came in Fort Worth, where they had not won since 2006. With several players banged up along the way, BYU still found a way to keep the Horned Frogs from settling in, thanks in part to a defense that made life difficult up front and a game plan that stayed patient even when the offense never looked especially clean.
Bear Bachmeiers passing day was not the sort that changes anyones mind on its own, but BYU did not need fireworks to leave Texas with a result that mattered. The four sacks were a big part of the story, and so was the willingness to stick with a conservative approach in a game where field position and toughness mattered more than style points. For a team that has spent part of the season fighting the ceiling debate, this was the kind of win that forces a more serious conversation about how high the Cougars can climb. [Read more 🡒]