Week 8 hit the Big 12 like a trap door.
One week after the league was enjoying the glow of three teams in the Top 10, the conference took two bruising losses that changed the mood fast. BYU, the No. 2 team in the nation, went to UCF and lost in double overtime, while Texas Tech traveled to Cincinnati and got flattened from start to finish. The Red Raiders were outplayed all afternoon, and the Cougars never found the answer to UCF’s pressure on the road.
That kind of weekend invites the obvious question: is the Big 12 serious?
Maybe that sounds harsh, but this is what happens when a league starts earning real national respect and then stumbles in public. BYU’s defeat makes its path to the College Football Playoff much tighter, and Texas Tech’s loss has the same effect on the Red Raiders’ Big 12 title and playoff dreams. Tech entered the season as the preseason favorite to win the conference, but now both programs are in a spot where another slip could do real damage.
There are people who will look at those results and call it proof of the Big 12’s depth. Fair enough.
But outside the league’s footprint, that’s not the way it lands. What people see is two of the conference’s best teams losing to Cincinnati and UCF, and that’s not the kind of headline the Big 12 wanted after last week’s national buzz about the possibility of placing two, or even three, teams in the College Football Playoff.
Baylor’s coaching change was another jolt from the weekend, and it came after a one-point loss to Kansas. Dave Aranda is out at Baylor following the 25-24 defeat on Saturday, and it’s hard not to wonder how much that result factored into the decision.
If the Bears’ last-second field goal had been blocked by Kansas and instead gone through for a win, would Aranda still be in the job? Nobody can say for sure.
But losing to a Kansas team that was viewed as one of the Big 12’s weakest, including in last week’s overreactions, clearly may have sealed his fate. Sometimes one loss is the one that ends everything.
Even with all that chaos, Utah now stands as the Big 12’s best shot at a perfect season and maybe a Top 4 team in the country by playoff time. The Utes took care of business at home against a Top 20 Houston team and remain alone in first place in the conference standings.
Behind them sit BYU, Arizona, Texas Tech and Oklahoma State, each with one Big 12 loss. Houston, after falling to Utah, would seem to be out of the race, but this season has already made a habit of shrugging off clean narratives.
Week 9 brings no shortage of pressure points.
No. 22 Arizona heads to No.
13 Texas Tech in what looks like the biggest game on the Big 12 slate. The Wildcats have been rolling, and they arrive in Lubbock after pounding Iowa State 39-3, following earlier blowouts of West Virginia 52-31 and Cincinnati 34-7.
Their offense has been humming, and if Texas Tech’s defense shows the same holes it did at Cincinnati, Arizona has a real chance to walk out with the upset. The Red Raiders, meanwhile, will be playing with urgency after getting hit with their first loss.
This one has elimination-game energy all over it.
BYU also has a chance to reset quickly when it hosts Arizona State. On paper, the Cougars should be in decent shape at home, but this conference has already made it clear that comfort is in short supply.
Arizona State is coming off a strong win over Kansas State and wants to keep that momentum rolling. BYU, meanwhile, has to shake off the setback and get back to work if it wants to stay near the top of the Big 12 race.
Another loss would make its championship and playoff path dangerously thin.
Then there’s Cincinnati, fresh off the emphatic win over Texas Tech, trying to do it again in back-to-back weeks. The Bearcats will host No.
6 Utah, the only unbeaten team left in the conference. A Utah win would keep the Utes in full control of the race, while a Cincinnati loss would leave the Bearcats’ already faint Big 12 Championship Game hopes hanging by a thread.
It’s the kind of matchup that could end up being one of the sneaky national games of the week.
The Big 12 got turned upside down in Week 8. There’s nothing in the setup for Week 9 that suggests the chaos is slowing down.
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