BYUs Early QB Surprise Looks Even Better Than Fans Realize

Despite modest yardage, Bear Bachmeier's advanced metrics reveal his true prowess as BYU's standout quarterback.

Bear Bachmeier’s first two games at BYU have looked solid in the box score, but the deeper numbers say he’s already doing more than that.

After Saturday’s win over Arizona, Bachmeier moved to 14-2 as BYU’s starting quarterback. He’s averaging 207.5 passing yards per game through two contests, which puts him 69th nationally.

On the surface, that reads as good, not spectacular. The advanced metrics paint a sharper picture.

One of the biggest reasons is his ability to create explosive plays. In college football, those chunk gains are often what keep drives alive and turn possessions into touchdowns. BYU’s custom data set measures explosive play rate by tracking how often a quarterback produces a pass of 15 or more yards, or a run of 10 or more, relative to his opportunities.

Bachmeier has played only three halves this season, yet he’s been one of the most explosive quarterbacks in the country when he’s had the chance. His explosive play rate sits at 27.6%, which ranks 10th nationally and second in the Big 12 behind Baylor’s Nate Bennett. Bennett started for the Bears when DJ Lagway went down with an injury, and his opponent was FCS Prairie View.

Among Big 12 quarterbacks who have faced an FBS opponent, Bachmeier has been the most efficient at generating explosive plays. He’s also done it when it mattered.

BYU’s first long touchdown drive against Arizona started with Bachmeier hanging in the pocket and absorbing a hit to the ribs while waiting for Kyler Kasper to clear his break. That patience led to a 29-yard completion to Kasper.

Later, Bachmeier connected with Legend Glasker on a deep ball that went for 61 yards. That play was part of the sequence that helped seal the win.

Accuracy has been another major part of the story. Bachmeier ranks 20th nationally in on-target throws, a category that looks at passes delivered in stride to the receiver.

He’s especially sharp in the intermediate game, where he ranks 10th nationally in on-target throws. That has been one of his best traits, and it’s carried over from 2025 into 2026. The numbers also show that he’s accurate when kept clean, ranking 17th in on-target rate from a clean pocket.

There are still areas for growth, including deep ball accuracy and efficiency on non-play action throws. But the overall profile is strong, especially when you factor in what he adds as a runner near the goal line.

Instead of leaning on the familiar touchdown-to-interception stat, the data here uses total touchdowns to total turnovers, which captures his rushing threat as well. On that measure, Bachmeier leads the Big 12.

That combination - chunk plays and ball security - is showing up in the broader efficiency metrics too. Bachmeier ranks 15th nationally in EPA through two weeks, which is first in the Big 12. He’s also 15th in PAA and again tops the conference there.

The box score says Bachmeier has been good. The advanced data says he’s already further along than that.

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