The Buffalo Sabres’ offseason has left the league with plenty to argue about, and one NHL analyst says the smartest part of it may not be the headline-grabbing moves at all.
Adam Gretz of Bleacher Report gave Buffalo a B- for its summer work, pointing to the team’s willingness to lock up young talent as the clearest win. In his view, that kind of planning could matter more down the road than chasing a splashy addition.
"The best thing the Sabres did this offseason was get a bunch of young players locked into deals that should be cap-friendly bargains in the coming years. Getting Zach Benson and Noah Ostlund signed to contracts that will combine for less than $14 million against the salary cap for the next seven years could be a huge win as the cap continues to climb. That will pay for itself in the long-run, as long as they keep progressing as players."
B/R NHL writer Adam Gretz
That approach fits a summer in which Buffalo general manager Jarmo Kekalainen focused on keeping the roster financially tidy rather than replacing every bit of lost production with a marquee name. The Sabres entered the offseason with some salary-cap pressure, but they’ve come out in a much cleaner spot. Jeff Skinner’s buyout penalty also drops by $4 million next year, which only adds to the flexibility.
There’s not much dead weight on the books now, and that matters with the NHL salary cap expected to keep climbing. Buffalo has put itself in a strong position on that front, even if the roster still has to prove it can handle the talent that walked out the door.
And those departures were significant. Alex Tuch was dealt after it became clear Buffalo wasn’t prepared to meet his asking price as he moved toward unrestricted free agency. The Sabres did at least get something back, landing a 2027 third-round pick in a sign-and-trade with the Washington Capitals, who gave Tuch an eight-year, $84 million extension.
Bowen Byram’s exit made sense too, at least from the player’s side of the equation. He had another season left on his deal, but he had long been looking for a chance to become a No. 1 defenseman, and that role already belongs to Rasmus Dahlin in Buffalo. Kekalainen sent Byram and Jordan Greenway, as part of a salary dump, to the Chicago Blackhawks for Louis Crevier, the No. 4 overall pick in the 2026 NHL Draft, Daxon Rudolph, and the No. 45 selection, which was later moved to the Anaheim Ducks in the Olen Zellweger trade.
On paper, the math works. Tuch and Byram are set to combine for a $23 million AAV starting next season, while Buffalo re-signed Benson, Ostlund, Zellweger and Josh Doan for a total of $24.15 million per year. If Rudolph turns into a high-end player, that side of the ledger could look even better in time.
Still, the numbers don’t erase the uncertainty hanging over this team. Even after a 50-23-9 season and a run to the second round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs, where Buffalo fell in Game 7 to the Montreal Canadiens, a repeat trip is far from automatic.
The models are split right down the middle. Dom Luszczyszyn of The Athletic projects the Sabres to finish with 94.6 points and gives them a 47% chance to make the playoffs. HockeyStats.com is only slightly more optimistic, putting Buffalo at 96 points and 55% playoff odds.
That uncertainty isn’t just about the scoring losses from Tuch and Byram. It also hangs over the crease, where Buffalo is currently planning to go with Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, Alex Lyon and Colten Ellis despite a summer full of Connor Hellebuyck trade rumors.
If the goaltending slips and the young players don’t make real progress, the season could get shaky fast.
But that’s the gamble Buffalo is making. The organization is loaded with young players who still have room to grow, and Konsta Helenius is the latest to reach the NHL level. The Sabres want to see Helenius, Benson, Doan, Ostlund, Jiri Kulich and Jack Quinn take meaningful steps toward becoming difference-makers.
If that happens quickly, the playoff questions could disappear in a hurry. If it doesn’t, the Sabres could wind up on the wrong side of the cut line.
That’s what makes this one of the widest-ranging seasons in the NHL. Buffalo has the look of a team that could either surge into serious contention or slide backward if the internal development stalls.
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