The Buffalo Sabres may have gone off the consensus board when they took Daxon Rudolph fourth overall in the 2026 NHL Draft, but the 18-year-old defenseman is already drawing plenty of respect from people who evaluate prospects for a living.
Steven Ellis of Daily Faceoff put Rudolph second in his ranking of Buffalo’s best prospects on Thursday, slotting the new first-rounder just behind forward Konsta Helenius.
“Rudolph was maybe a surprise pick at No. 4, but scouts love how dominant he is with the puck,” Ellis wrote. “His hockey sense is so impressive.
Rudolph doesn't try to do more than he's capable of, and he doesn't force plays for the sake of making them. Instead, he plays to his strengths, which are quite a few.
He has a booming shot, makes great breakout passes and can knock guys down.”
Rudolph’s stock is backed by a huge season with the WHL’s Prince Albert Raiders, where he wore an assistant captain’s letter. The 6-foot-2 Canadian piled up 78 points, scoring 28 goals and adding 50 assists in 68 regular-season games. He kept rolling in the playoffs, finishing with nine goals and 18 assists in 19 games.
Buffalo’s blue line already has plenty of talent at both the NHL and prospect levels, but the organization still needs another real puck-moving threat behind captain Rasmus Dahlin after Bowen Byram was traded to the Chicago Blackhawks. Owen Power, the No. 1 pick in the 2021 draft, has not yet made the offensive jump the Sabres were hoping for.
Rudolph looks like the kind of player who could eventually help solve that problem. The catch is timing. He’s probably still at least a year or two away from NHL duty, and he’s committed to play college hockey at the University of Denver in 2026-27.
Ellis’ top five for Buffalo also included defenseman Radim Mrtka, center Ilia Morozov and winger Brodie Ziemer.
Mrtka, Buffalo’s ninth overall pick in the 2025 draft, entered the 2025-26 season with plenty of buzz after turning heads at development camp and training camp. The production never quite matched the hype.
He finished with 34 points, including one goal and 33 assists, in 43 games with the WHL’s Seattle Thunderbirds. He also had one assist in eight games for the AHL’s Rochester Americans and went scoreless in five games for Czechia at the 2026 World Juniors.
Even so, Ellis didn’t back off the long-term projection.
“Still, there's a lot to love about the mobile, 6-foot-6 blueliner,” Ellis wrote. “While Mrtka is strong physically, he uses his size more to win battles and fend off attackers than to knock someone over.
Mrtka didn't score much this past season, but he does a good job of rushing the puck into the offensive zone. I like him as a top-four blueliner.”
The quieter season may have pushed his timeline back a bit. Mrtka does not look like a strong candidate to open the 2026-27 season with Buffalo, even though that possibility was on the table if he had completely dominated the WHL.
Instead, the 19-year-old Czech defenseman is expected to start the year with the Amerks, and Buffalo would likely prefer he stay in Rochester for the full season. That helps explain why the front office brought in veteran Dennis Gilbert for some extra defensive depth.
Mrtka could become an NHL option when the calendar turns to 2027, in a similar path to Helenius, who got a regular-season look with the Blue and Gold before returning for the playoffs and becoming one of Buffalo’s most dangerous forwards after entering the lineup in a second-round series against the Montreal Canadiens.
For now, the more realistic path is another heavy workload in Rochester, followed by a push for an NHL job next year. That would line up with the possible openings created when Gilbert and Conor Timmins become unrestricted free agents.
He may also have to fend off Rudolph if the Sabres’ newest first-rounder comes in and has a big freshman season at Denver.
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