Josh Allen’s MVP odds just got a whole lot more interesting.
A week ago, Allen was a long shot in the MVP race, sitting at +3000 in most sportsbooks. Today?
He’s still fourth on the board-but the gap has narrowed dramatically. His odds have surged to +1400, putting him right in the thick of the conversation behind Matthew Stafford, Drake Maye, and Jordan Love.
And with a pivotal Week 15 showdown against Maye and the Patriots on deck, Allen’s path to MVP relevance is far from closed.
Let’s break down where things stand with the top four contenders as the season barrels toward its final stretch.
1. Matthew Stafford - Los Angeles Rams
Stafford’s late-season renaissance has been one of the more compelling storylines in the league. The veteran quarterback is playing some of his best football in years, and it’s not just about the numbers-it’s the timing. He’s delivering in high-leverage moments, keeping the Rams in playoff contention and reminding everyone why he was once the centerpiece of a Super Bowl run.
Stafford’s command of the offense has been surgical. He’s reading defenses with ease, delivering strikes into tight windows, and elevating a young supporting cast that wasn’t expected to carry this much weight. If he keeps this up and the Rams sneak into the postseason, Stafford could very well ride a wave of momentum straight into MVP territory.
2. Drake Maye - New England Patriots
Yes, a rookie is in the MVP conversation-and it’s not just hype.
Drake Maye has brought a pulse back to a Patriots franchise that was desperate for a spark. He’s shown poise beyond his years, commanding the offense with confidence and creativity. Maye’s ability to extend plays, make throws on the run, and take care of the football has been impressive, especially considering the learning curve that typically comes with a first-year quarterback.
Sunday’s matchup against Allen and the Bills is more than just a divisional clash-it’s a statement opportunity. If Maye can outduel Allen in front of a home crowd, he’ll not only strengthen his MVP case but also solidify his status as the face of the Patriots’ future.
3. Jordan Love - Green Bay Packers
Jordan Love’s emergence has been one of the season’s most fascinating developments. After an uneven start to the year, Love has found his rhythm-and the Packers have followed suit.
He’s showing the kind of growth you want to see from a young quarterback: better decision-making, more consistent mechanics, and a growing connection with his receivers. Love’s arm talent has never been in question, but now he’s putting it all together with confidence and control. His recent performances have helped Green Bay stay in the NFC playoff picture, and if the Packers keep winning, Love’s MVP stock will only rise.
What’s especially notable is how he’s stepped up in big moments. Whether it’s a late-game drive or a third-and-long conversion, Love has delivered when it counts. That kind of clutch play doesn’t go unnoticed when voters make their final decisions.
4. Josh Allen - Buffalo Bills
Don’t look now, but Josh Allen is heating up-and so are the Bills.
Allen’s MVP case is a late-bloomer, but it’s gaining serious traction. He’s been electric in recent weeks, putting the offense on his back and delivering highlight-reel plays that only a handful of quarterbacks in the league can make. Whether it’s a 40-yard rope on the run or a bruising scramble through defenders, Allen continues to be a one-man wrecking crew when Buffalo needs it most.
The Bills’ season has been a rollercoaster, but Allen’s recent heroics have kept them in the playoff hunt. And with a high-stakes matchup against Drake Maye and the Patriots this Sunday, the stage is set for Allen to make a major statement. A big performance in Foxborough could vault him even higher in the MVP race-and remind everyone that when Allen is locked in, he’s as dangerous as anyone in the league.
The Bottom Line
With just a few weeks left in the regular season, the MVP race is wide open. Stafford’s resurgence, Maye’s meteoric rise, Love’s steady climb, and Allen’s late push all bring different flavors to the conversation. But what they share is this: each quarterback has a chance to define their season-and perhaps their legacy-with how they finish the stretch run.
Week 15 is shaping up to be a pivotal chapter. And if Allen shines in New England, don’t be surprised if that +1400 line keeps shrinking.