Red Sox Surge Just Raised The Stakes For Their Second Half

With a well-timed resurgence just before the All-Star break, the Boston Red Sox are poised to capitalize on a favorable statistical outlook for a strong second half of the season.

The Boston Red Sox enter the second half with a real opening in front of them, and the timing could hardly be better. After a first half that dragged for long stretches, Boston closed with a burst that changed the feel around the club: 14 wins in its last 16 games, plus a nine-game streak right before the All-Star break.

That late push matters because it was the first time all season the Red Sox looked capable of stacking wins this way. Before sweeping the New York Yankees in a four-game set at Fenway Park, they had not won more than three straight games. Since June 25, they’ve put together two separate five-game runs, a sharp turnaround from the uneven baseball that defined much of the first half.

Now the question is whether that momentum can carry into a stretch that actually gives Boston a shot. The Red Sox need to stay in the Wild Card mix long enough to make a trade-deadline buy worth considering, and according to Twitter user Thomas Nestico, they at least have a manageable path ahead. Boston’s second-half schedule is the 15th-hardest in MLB, putting it right in the middle of the pack.

That doesn’t exactly scream easy, especially for a team that spent months waiting for its offense to wake up. Boston’s lineup was held back for much of the first half by disappointing production from players the club expected to lean on, including Jarren Duran, Roman Anthony, Marcelo Mayer and Trevor Story.

And the recent surge wasn’t built entirely on beating elite competition. The Yankees and White Sox are one thing, but two of Boston’s other sweeps came against the Los Angeles Angels and New York Mets, both of whom sit among the league’s worst teams.

The second half opens with a tough test right away. Tampa Bay, Baltimore and Toronto are all set to come through Fenway in back-to-back-to-back fashion, a divisional run that will tell plenty about whether Boston can keep its footing in the middle of the race.

The Red Sox and their AL East rivals are all dealing with similar second-half schedule ratings, according to Nestico, but several of those teams face even more difficult paths. The Orioles rank ninth for hardest remaining schedule, the Blue Jays 10th, the Yankees 12th and the Blue Jays 16th, just one spot easier than Boston. That means the division may sort itself out through performance more than schedule relief, and the Red Sox won’t be able to count on anyone else doing them favors.

There’s still plenty that has to break right. Some of the unexpected contributors who have surged since their promotions, including Anthony Seigler and Tsung-Che Cheng, may not keep producing at this level. Anthony and Garrett Crochet also still have a lot of recovery ahead before they’re healthy enough to return.

Even so, Boston has something it didn’t always seem to have earlier this year: belief. The recent run showed the Red Sox can win even when their best hitters aren’t carrying the offense. Baseball is built in halves, and if the finish to the first one was any indication, Boston’s schedule gives it a real chance to make the second one count.

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Red Sox Suddenly Have A Rotation Arm Drawing Trade Interest

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For a team like St. Louis, sitting near the Wild Card line and trying to avoid paying premium prices for a short-term fix, that kind of profile is worth monitoring. Sandovals recent first start back was encouraging, and with his contract and injury history shaping how rival front offices view him, he fits the sort of affordable pitching addition that can linger on the deadline market even as bigger names dominate the conversation. [Read more 🡒]