Red Sox Can Clinch Soon But Their Schedule Just Got Complicated

While the Yankees celebrate securing their playoff berth, the Red Sox face a tough schedule in a race to clinch their own postseason spot.

The Red Sox are one step closer to the postseason, and the Yankees helped set the table.

New York clinched a playoff berth on September 14, joining the Tampa Bay Rays as the only two American League clubs already locked into October baseball as of September 15. The Yankees did it with a comeback win over the Minnesota Twins, a game they survived despite committing three errors.

For Boston, the timing matters. If the Red Sox hold onto the second Wild Card spot and get in, they’d be headed for a rematch of the only postseason series they played last year - a best-of-three set in the Bronx.

Boston’s magic number is now five, with four series left on the schedule. Any mix of Red Sox wins and Toronto Blue Jays losses that adds up to five will send the Sox to the playoffs.

That is still far from a sure thing. Toronto has been one of the strongest teams in the second half, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. may have given that group another jolt on September 13 when he hit his first home run of the season at Rogers Centre.

The road in front of Boston is a tough one. Each of the Red Sox’s final four series comes against teams that are either in the playoff field or still chasing it, beginning with the Texas Rangers. Texas sits one spot behind the Blue Jays in the standings as of this writing and has plenty to play for as it pushes toward its first postseason appearance since winning the World Series in 2023.

Wilyer Abreu may be able to make life easier on that front. He has a 2.035 OPS over eight games at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas.

After the Rangers come the Guardians, Rays and Cubs. Cleveland will be battling to protect its Wild Card position if it still has one when the series begins on September 22.

Tampa Bay is already in, but that won’t make the Rays any easier to face; they still have seeding to chase. Chicago, meanwhile, remains in the mix for the top Wild Card spot in the National League.

FanGraphs now pegs Boston’s playoff odds at 100 percent. The Red Sox still have work to do, but they’re right on the doorstep, and if the results break their way, they could clinch by the end of the week.

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