Celtics Still Have One Big Mitchell Robinson Question to Answer

Despite a rocky start to the season, the Celtics remain confident in Mitchell Robinson's potential to adapt and contribute within their evolving system.

Mitchell Robinson’s first few games in Boston have come with some rough edges, but the Celtics aren’t backing away from him.

After Robinson was hard on himself following Monday’s loss in Houston and said he needed to “figure it out - and fast,” Joe Mazzulla spent the next couple of days digging into the numbers. What he found eased some of the concern. The Celtics coach had staffers compare Robinson’s average distance from the basket in Boston with his Knicks usage, and the gap was smaller than he expected.

That mattered on Wednesday night, when Robinson responded with six offensive rebounds and 20 positive bench minutes in Boston’s 109-102 win over Milwaukee without Jayson Tatum, who rested.

“The other night, he had one of the highest crash rates on our entire team,” Mazzulla said before the game. “He just wasn’t able to come up with a few of those.

At the same time, there’s a level of patience there. He’s playing a different role.

He’s playing a role that positively impacts the other players around him and playing a role that gives him the ability to do a little bit more and you’ve seen some of that with the two-man pick and roll actions. We’ve obviously missed a couple of our lobs, but his ability to do that.

He’s done a good job punishing switching for us.

Even with the strong glass work against Milwaukee, Robinson’s line was still messy. He finished 1-for-8, missed two early put-back chances and later got blocked under the rim on a finish attempt. His burst and vertical pop have looked limited at times, and his numbers have reflected the uneven start.

Including Wednesday, Robinson sat at a -12.7 net rating, the worst among Boston’s regular contributors. Jordan Walsh was next at -2.3.

Some of the impact metrics are kinder: EPM has him at +2.5 defensively and -0.3 offensively, while LEBRON has him at +2.2 overall. DPM pegged him at +2.9, matching his Knicks mark from last season.

The rebounding dip is harder to ignore. Robinson’s 23.9 OREB% has fallen to 10.6 entering Wednesday, while his offensive box plus-minus slid from +1.9 to -3.4.

His steal and block rates have also dropped sharply. He turned his ankle early in Boston’s opener against Detroit, though neither he nor the team has made anything of it, and he stayed in to finish that game.

“I think what’s not being valued is his ability to help everyone else,” Mazzulla said. “Obviously, the rebounding might be down a little bit, but what’s not down is how he’s positively impacting the other guys, getting cleaner shots for guys, keeping matchups so that teams can’t cross-match and they have to stay on him because of his size and getting there.

So, there’s a lot of stuff that’s not measured that he’s doing good. The easiest measurable thing is the one thing that he’s been great at his whole career, which is rebounding and some of that, he has to get better at it there, but he’s doing stuff for the other guys that’s making it look easier for them and that’s a product of him and you can’t measure that.”

Boston has also been experimenting with different frontcourt combinations around him. Robinson sat out the front end of Sunday’s back-to-back, and Neemias Queta started in Houston.

Queta scored 16 points with six rebounds in that loss, and Boston won his minutes by seven. Robinson, meanwhile, had just one offensive rebound in 15 minutes.

Alperen Şengün scored eight of his 26 points and went 3-for-3 in two minutes against Robinson, who has allowed opponents to shoot 47.2% in his matchups. By comparison, Queta is at 44.6%, and Luka Garza at 38.5%.

Garza has become part of the conversation too. He gave Boston 12 points, six rebounds, four assists and two threes in Sunday’s win in Orlando, then scored 14 in Houston while going 4-for-7 from deep as Mazzulla started to test lineups with Robinson, Queta and Garza together. The coach had hinted at that in the preseason and in short bursts earlier this season.

On Wednesday, the double-big look came back, and Garza answered with three more threes on four attempts while battling on the boards with Robinson. In their first stretch together, Robinson had a block and three offensive rebounds.

Later, the Celtics got a third-chance tip-in for Garza during the second quarter before Milwaukee pushed them around in the third. A short fourth-quarter run with the pair produced a 1-for-5 stretch and one offensive rebound before Queta finished the game, ending with 12 points, 12 rebounds, three assists and two blocks.

The early numbers on Boston’s big-man combinations are all over the place. Robinson and Queta have posted a -22.0 net rating in seven minutes together.

Robinson and Garza are at +13.5 in 13 minutes. Queta and Garza have been the best of the three pairings at +80.0 in five minutes.

Garza understands the adjustment period. He’s already lived through it in Boston, where the screening details and defensive responsibilities for bigs can take time to sort out. He was benched early last season in favor of small-ball looks before settling in and becoming a regular part of the rotation early in year two.

Paul George said Robinson is dealing with a similar transition.

“I think it was a different situation for him in New York to where here,” George said. “We actually need him to do a little bit more and want him to do a little more.

He’s just going through that, a different play style for him. He’ll get there.

For me as well, I’m still learning, I’m still figuring it out, but I have no doubt. He’s got a high IQ, he plays hard, it’s just, I think, an adjustment.”

“I’m still trying to figure it out myself, but we’re all in this together. I think the biggest thing about it is he knows that, we’re here for him, we’re all collectively here to help him through this.

It’s not a thing that he has to navigate on his own. I think he’s starting to explore who he is here for us.”

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