Boise State got a little more breathing room in the latest College Football Playoff rankings, climbing one spot to No. 24 when the new top 25 dropped Tuesday.
The Broncos are 8-1 overall and 5-0 in the Pac-12, and they’ll put that mark on the line Saturday at home against Oregon State, with ESPN’s College GameDay in town. Boise State opened the first CFP rankings at No. 25 last week, so the move up keeps the Broncos inside the committee’s picture as the season tightens.
The committee slotted Boise State as the No. 12 seed in its latest projection, which would send the Broncos into an opening-round game against No. 5 Notre Dame.
For now, Boise State remains the only Group of Six team in the rankings, and that matters. Under the current format, the highest-ranked Group of Six team in the final CFP rankings earns an automatic berth into the 12-team playoff.
Boise State already has one CFP appearance on its résumé, reaching the field in 2024 after winning the second of three straight Mountain West titles.
The Broncos also benefited in the weekly polls. For the second consecutive week, they landed much higher in the AP Poll at No. 17 and the Coaches Poll at No. 18 than they did in the CFP rankings.
DraftKings Sportsbook adjusted its playoff odds after Tuesday’s release, and Boise State still sits as the clear favorite to claim the Group of Six bid at -160. Only Georgia (-9000), Notre Dame (-4000), Alabama (-3000), Miami (-2500), Indiana (-1000), Utah (-700), UCLA (-430) and Texas (-380) have better odds to make the CFP.
The next Group of Six team in the DraftKings odds is Mountain West leader New Mexico at +160. The Lobos are 8-1 and 5-0, and they host UNLV this week before road games at Wyoming and a home date with Air Force.
North Texas is also in the mix at +1400. The Mean Green are 7-2 and 5-0 in the American, and their trip to UTSA this week looms as what amounts to a CFP elimination game. The Roadrunners fell to +3000 after a blowout loss to FAU last week.
Liberty, which shares the Sun Belt lead at 8-1 and 5-0, is still alive at +1700.
No other Group of Six team has CFP odds listed by DraftKings. Earlier this week, the CFP announced it will expand to 24 teams for the 2027 season, though the Group of Six will still be guaranteed only one spot in that playoff.
In Other News...
Boise States Defense Has A Bigger Problem Than Fans Wanted
Boise States defense has spent the last few games giving up too much after halftime, and the broader numbers are starting to reflect what fans have seen on the field. The Broncos are sitting near the bottom nationally in several defensive categories, a troubling development for a program that usually expects that side of the ball to travel well and keep games under control.
Spencer Danielson has acknowledged the issues and backed his players and staff, but the message has been clear that there has to be better execution soon. Defensive coordinator Erik Chinander has pointed to explosive plays as a major problem, and while he remains confident the group can improve, the Broncos are now facing a stretch where fixing those breakdowns is no longer optional. [Read more 🡒]
Boise States Biggest Home Game Comes With One Huge Complication
Boise States upcoming trip to Albertsons Stadium carries more than the usual late-season weight. A win over Oregon State would put the Broncos in position to secure hosting rights for the first Pac-12 championship game since the conferences revival, turning what already looks like a major home date into one with real league implications.
The challenge is simple to describe and harder to solve. Oregon State arrives at 5-4, but the Beavers still bring one of the more dangerous passing attacks in the country, with national leaders in both passing and receiving yards, while Boise State is expected to get quarterback Maddux Madsen back from injury. The game will be on USA Sports and local radio, with the Broncos trying to handle a tough matchup and keep the path to a title game at home within reach. [Read more 🡒]
Boise State Is About To Test An Oregon State Defense In Flux
Oregon State is trying to steady itself after a rough loss to Texas State, and Jamarcus Shephard spent part of the week acknowledging the places where things have slipped. The run defense was a clear concern, and the Beavers are also dealing with the absence of safety Sai Vadrawale because of injury as they turn the page toward a Pac-12 matchup with Boise State.
For Boise State, that creates a familiar kind of opportunity, one built around a ground game that has already shown it can stress a defense. The Broncos will bring a strong group of running backs into the matchup, including Dylan Riley, and Oregon States response will say plenty about how quickly it can adjust after a shaky showing and how much stability it can find on the back end without Vadrawale. [Read more 🡒]
