Boise State gets a fresh shot at a marquee non-conference win Saturday, and oddsmakers think the Broncos have the edge this time.
After nearly pulling off one of Week 1’s biggest shocks, Boise State opens its home schedule against Memphis at newly renovated Albertsons Stadium. Kickoff is set for 4 p.m. Mountain time on Saturday, and the game will air nationally on USA Network.
The Broncos are 7.5-point favorites, with Boise State listed at -285 on the moneyline and Memphis at +230. Boise State is 1-0 and 0-0 in the Pac-12, while Memphis comes in 2-0 and 0-0 in the American.
This is a matchup between two teams that entered the season with College Football Playoff hopes, and both have already shown something early. Boise State went into Autzen Stadium as a 24.5-point underdog and came agonizingly close to a stunner. Memphis, under first-year coach Charles Huff, started with a 27-21 Week 0 win over Mountain West favorite UNLV before following that up with a 42-24 win over Arkansas State.
The Broncos’ history in these spotlight games has not been pretty. Saturday’s near-upset of Oregon was Boise State’s 11th straight loss against a Power Four opponent. The Broncos have also dropped their last three games against American Conference teams, falling to South Florida in 2025, Memphis in 2023 and UCF in 2021.
That 2023 meeting with Memphis was the only previous game between the programs. In that one, Ashton Jeanty scored all four Boise State touchdowns, but the Broncos still came up short in a 35-32 road loss. Boise State fell to 2-3 overall after that game.
Six weeks later, head coach Andy Avalos was fired, and Spencer Danielson was promoted to interim head coach. Danielson then guided the Broncos to the first of three straight Mountain West championships, and the interim tag was eventually removed.
Saturday’s matchup also lands in a packed Pac-12 slate. All eight league teams are in action, with Boise State-Memphis one of several games drawing early betting attention.
Boise State is 1-0 against the spread, while Memphis is 2-0.
Early Pac-12 betting lines for Saturday, all times Mountain:
Washington State (+17.5) at Kansas State, 10 a.m. (TNT)
Utah State (+26.5) at Washington, 1:30 p.m. (Big Ten Network)
Memphis at Boise State (-7.5), 4 p.m. (USA Network)
Southern Utah at Colorado State (-20.5), 5 p.m. (CBS Sports Network)
San Diego State (+11.5) at UCLA, 5:15 p.m. (Big Ten Network)
Texas Tech at Oregon State (+26.5), 5:30 p.m. (CBS)
Sacramento State at Fresno State (-18.5), 8:30 p.m. (CBS Sports Network)
Game time is 4 p.m. Mountain time on Saturday, Sept. 12.
In Other News...
Boise State Has Two Troubling Questions Heading Into The Memphis Game
Boise States first public depth chart for the 2026 season offered a clearer look at where the Broncos stand heading into their home opener against Memphis, but it also underscored a few concerns for a team trying to regroup after its Week 1 loss to Oregon. The release showed several position battles still unfolding, and it came just as the Broncos were sorting through special-teams roles and getting a better sense of which spots are settled and which ones remain up for grabs.
One of the bigger developments involved the offensive line, where redshirt freshman right tackle Jacob Tracy is out for the season after suffering an injury before Week 1, according to head coach Spencer Danielson. For Boise State, that creates an immediate test up front as it prepares for a Memphis team that will see a line under pressure to stabilize quickly, while the kicking competition remains another issue the Broncos are still working through. [Read more 🡒]
Boise State Just Got One More Reason To Watch Oregon Closely
Boise States opener at Autzen Stadium already offered plenty to sort through after the Broncos fell 34-27 to No. 2 Oregon, but one of the games most prominent moments belonged to receiver Dakorien Moore. The Ducks freshman gave Oregon the decisive spark with a 62-yard go-ahead touchdown in the fourth quarter, then finished with six catches for 93 yards in a game that showed why he was such a tough cover for Boise State.
Moores night added a layer of concern late, when he took a hard hit and briefly left the field before coming back. He was able to return and later walked off under his own power after the win, a small but important reassurance for Oregon after a play that had everyone in the stadium watching closely. For Boise State, it was another reminder that the Ducks have real playmaking depth, and that Moore is already a name to keep in mind on the schedule ahead. [Read more 🡒]
Boise State Showed Something At Oregon Fans Will Want To See
Boise State went into Eugene as a 24.5-point underdog and left with plenty to build on, even if the final score still read 34-27 in favor of No. 2 Oregon. The Broncos had the Ducks on their heels early, playing with the kind of edge and physicality that can matter in a season where every road test becomes a measuring stick. Head coach Spencer Danielson made clear the performance came with both encouragement and plenty to clean up, which fits the larger picture of a team that showed it could hang for long stretches but still has room to grow.
The snap counts tell part of that story, too, because Boise State leaned on a broad group of contributors while sorting out who can be trusted in the biggest moments. Among the players who stood out were a pair of true freshmen, Rasean Jones and Madden Soliai, which is the sort of development the Broncos will be eager to see carry over once the schedule settles back into something more manageable. For a team trying to turn a near-upset into something more lasting, those are the kinds of signs worth keeping an eye on. [Read more 🡒]
