In the world of Major League Baseball, the Baltimore Orioles have carved out a distinct identity under the leadership of Mike Elias. Known for their reluctance to prioritize pitching and their hesitance towards multi-year contracts, the Orioles' front office has maintained a consistent approach. This offseason, that approach has raised eyebrows with their handling of Trevor Rogers, arguably their top pitcher, who is entering his final year under team control without any extension talks from the Orioles.
The decision not to engage Rogers in extension discussions is puzzling, especially considering the Orioles' struggles in securing starting pitching. Whether it's disagreements over trade prospects or failing to meet free agents' demands, the Orioles have repeatedly come up short in bolstering their rotation.
The reluctance to pursue extensions complicates their efforts to strengthen their pitching staff. Excuses abound, from the White Sox demanding too much for Dylan Cease to Corbin Burnes preferring Arizona. Yet, the reality is that trades and signings require mutual interest, and the Orioles have struggled to make those connections.
Rogers, already a part of the Orioles' roster, has expressed his happiness in Baltimore and his openness to an extension. As spring training begins for his final year under team control, the lack of extension talks is telling. It's not just about failing to secure an agreement with Rogers; it's the absence of effort that stands out.
This approach suggests an unwarranted confidence in their ability to replace Rogers' production more cost-effectively in the future. Given their recent history, there's little reason to believe they can acquire a better pitcher than Rogers. If Rogers performs well in 2026, the Orioles may find themselves unable to re-sign him.
Despite Rogers' gratitude for the Orioles' role in reviving his career, he will likely follow the highest offer, leaving the Orioles to fill his spot with someone like next year's version of Chris Bassitt.
Looking ahead, if the Orioles' rotation remains a concern, the root of the issue will trace back to their philosophy on extensions. This mindset is a barrier to building the "sustainable winner" they've envisioned. To move forward, the front office must rethink their strategy on player extensions or risk perpetually lagging in the pitching department.