Orioles Offseason Plan Is Getting Clearer For A Roster That Needs Help

With a weak free agent market on the horizon, the Baltimore Orioles are strategically positioned to capitalize on their deep pool of prospects and make pivotal trade moves.

The Orioles are walking into a tricky offseason with one clear advantage: they have pieces other teams want.

That matters because the free-agent board does not offer much help. Beyond Tarik Skubal, there are no true star names locked in as free agents, and while a few players could still opt out and change the shape of the class, MLB Trade Rumors’ free agency power ranking has Terukai Sato at No. 2 and Trevor Rogers at No.

  1. For Baltimore, that is not exactly a menu of impact additions.

But it does push the club toward the one area where it is positioned to strike.

Baltimore’s trade inventory is the real story here. The organization’s farm system is loaded, and the big-league roster is starting to crowd itself in a few spots. That combination gives Mike Elias room to get aggressive.

MLB Pipeline’s latest update placed six Orioles among the Top 100 prospects, and the group is spread across the same few areas: three outfielders and three pitchers. Even if those prospects are not all sitting at the same level in the minors, that kind of concentration makes it easier for Baltimore to deal from strength without gutting one area of the system.

The outfield, in particular, looks crowded. Beyond those top six prospects, the Orioles have three more outfielders in their top 20, including Enrique Bradfield Jr., the 24-year-old first-round pick from 2023 who spent the whole season at Triple-A when he was not rehabbing. Add that to the 40-man roster mix - Dylan Beavers, Colton Cowser, Heston Kjerstad, Tyler O'Neill, and others - and it is hard to avoid the conclusion that at least one outfielder is probably on the move this winter.

The infield is not much cleaner. Jordan Westburg’s return will squeeze things even more, since he has played both third and second in the majors. Baltimore also has Coby Mayo, Christian Encarnacion-Strand, Jackson Holliday, and Blaze Alexander, who also plays outfield, clustered around those spots.

That is why the Orioles should be looking beyond the free-agent market and into the trade market instead. Elias has not always been a big winner in free agency, but he has shown he can make major trades work. The Corbin Burnes deal is the clearest example, and Baltimore has the kind of surplus that could allow him to swing another significant move.

The bottom line is simple: the Orioles need a real upgrade, and the market is pushing them toward trades. They have the prospects, they have the logjams, and they have a chance to turn excess into help. Even with a thin free-agent class, Baltimore is set up to be active this offseason.

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