The Orioles’ 2026 season hasn’t gone the way anyone in Baltimore pictured after an active offseason. Instead of pushing toward the top of the American League East, they’re stuck in last place at 43-51, 12.5 games behind the first-place Tampa Bay Rays going into Friday’s games.
Even with the big-league club trying to claw back into the race, the front office already has another major decision looming. Baltimore holds the No. 7 pick in the upcoming draft, and one analyst thinks the Orioles should break from their usual pattern if the right arm is still on the board.
Bleacher Report’s Zachary D. Rymer pointed to UC Santa Barbara ace Jackson Flora as the name Baltimore should target if he makes it to them.
"The Orioles could be in a position to draft a college bat with their top pick, and that would be on-brand for Mike Elias. Since 2023, he's used six of his seven first-round picks on hitters out of four-year universities.
Yet even if teams don't normally draft according to major league needs, it's hard to ignore how much the big club in Baltimore needs impact arms. So if UC Santa Barbara ace Jackson Flora is here for the O's at No.
7, Elias might have to deviate from the script."
Baltimore has generally leaned toward college bats with its first-round picks, and the last time the Orioles used their top selection on a pitcher was in 2018, when they took Grayson Rodriguez. But the argument here is simple: don’t let that history box them in.
Flora is expected to be the first pitcher selected in the draft, and there’s a real chance he won’t be available when the Orioles are on the clock. If he is, the appeal goes beyond just talent. He could move quickly through Baltimore’s system, which would be a welcome boost for a farm system that doesn’t have many high-profile arms.
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What makes the situation trickier is the timing. Rogers would come with no long-term control, so any deal has to be judged against the price of the return, not just the name value on the other side. The Dodgers are still shopping for pitching help and have bigger targets they could chase, which only adds to the sense that Baltimore could be asked to part with a useful arm without getting the kind of package that makes a move easy to justify. [Read more 🡒]
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Ryan Mountcastle Just Became An Orioles Deadline Tension Point
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The bigger question is what happens once he is ready. Baltimore has enough uncertainty around the roster that Mountcastles next step is not just about health, but about opportunity, and there is already a sense that the Orioles could listen if the right trade angle emerges before the Aug. 3 deadline. For now, the club is still waiting on the same thing everyone else is - a clearer picture of when he is back, and what role he would actually have when he gets there. [Read more 🡒]