Orioles May Be Drifting Toward A Starter Trade Fans Dread

Amidst their mid-season struggles, the Orioles face a crucial decision on whether to trade Trevor Rogers ahead of his free agency, as they balance between bolstering their roster and avoiding another rebuild.

The Baltimore Orioles had high hopes for the 2026 season after making significant investments in the offseason. Coming off a disappointing 2025, the team aimed to bounce back into postseason contention.

However, with a 39-45 record so far, things haven't quite gone as planned. If this trend continues, the Orioles might find themselves in the position of sellers as the summer trade deadline approaches.

Despite their reluctance to dive into another full-scale rebuild, the Orioles have some players who could be on the trading block. One notable name is Trevor Rogers, a left-handed starting pitcher with a 4.99 ERA this season. Rogers, who is set to become a free agent after 2026, might be a prime candidate for a trade if Baltimore decides to shake things up.

The Orioles, having recently emerged from a major rebuild, likely want to maintain the core of their team rather than dismantling it again. Players like Shane Baz, who are under team control beyond 2026, are expected to remain in Baltimore for the foreseeable future. However, those like Rogers, who are nearing free agency, might be seen as trade assets this summer.

Rogers, now 28, has experienced a noticeable dip in performance compared to his impressive 2025 season, where he posted a stellar 1.81 ERA over 18 starts. This year, his ERA has ballooned to 4.99 over 15 starts.

If the Orioles remain in the hunt for a postseason spot by the August 3 trade deadline, they might hold onto him. But if they slip out of contention, trading players like Rogers in a seller's market could be a strategic move.

Teams in the playoff race are always on the lookout for pitching, and Rogers, with his potential and left-handed advantage, could attract interest as a rental option. Trading him wouldn't necessarily plunge the Orioles back into a rebuilding phase, aligning with their goal to stay competitive while avoiding another overhaul.

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