Orioles Lineup Could Decide A Must Win Finale In St. Louis

The Orioles aim to complete a sweep against the Cardinals as they inch closer to the Wild Card race, driven by standout performances from Pete Alonso and Trevor Rogers.

The Orioles have put themselves in position to do something they badly need, but the standings still haven’t budged enough to make the chase feel comfortable. After a 13-run outburst in the series opener and a wild comeback win last night, they can complete a sweep of the Cardinals this afternoon in St.

Louis. Even with all that offense, they’re still 2 ½ games behind the Guardians for the final Wild Card spot.

Last night had plenty of swing to it. Baltimore jumped out to a 7-0 lead in the second inning, then watched the Cardinals claw back until Christian Encarnacion-Strand delivered the game-winning RBI double in the ninth, his fourth hit of the night. The Orioles also needed Jackson Holliday’s diving stop in the bottom of the ninth to protect the lead, and they left two runners in scoring position before the final out.

The early damage came fast. Baltimore led 5-0 in the first inning after the first two batters were retired, then Leody Taveras cleared the bases with a three-run homer after RBI singles from Encarnacion-Strand and Dylan Beavers. Pete Alonso added a two-run shot in the second, his 32nd homer of the season, and he went the other way again.

There really hasn’t been a good answer for Alonso lately. He now has nine homers and 20 RBIs over his last 16 games, and the way he’s hitting right now is turning heads.

He’s slashing .391/.448/.736 with three doubles, nine home runs and 22 RBIs in 23 games, and his second-half numbers against breaking balls tell the story even more clearly: .357 with a .690 slugging percentage. In the first half, he hit .205 and slugged .308.

The Orioles also lost ground yesterday when the Guardians rallied for two runs in the top of the ninth to beat the Angels 4-3 in Anaheim. Cleveland gets another chance this afternoon, and Baltimore is trying to answer with a win of its own.

Trevor Rogers gets the ball for the Orioles. He’s been steadier of late, with three quality starts in four games this month, and his 4.14 ERA is his lowest since April 19.

He has also handled the Cardinals well in his career, allowing five earned runs in 15 innings across three starts, including three earned runs in 11 innings at Busch Stadium. His sweeper has been especially effective lately; opponents are batting .184 against it over his last 12 starts after hitting .269 in his first 12.

Baltimore’s lineup has a different look again today. Alonso is at designated hitter, Coby Mayo is at first base, and Samuel Basallo is catching. Leody Taveras is back in right field.

St. Louis will go with right-hander Gordon Graceffo, a fifth-round pick in 2021 out of Villanova.

The Cardinals had been listed as TBA before the starter was finally revealed. Graceffo has made 80 career appearances in three seasons, and today will be only his second start.

He’s 7-1 with a 3.13 ERA this season in 52 games, with 30 walks, 38 strikeouts and five home runs allowed in 63 1/3 innings, and he hasn’t gone beyond 2 1/3 innings in any outing this year. He also threw a scoreless inning against the Orioles on May 26, 2025 at Camden Yards.

Carlos Narváez has already had some success against him, going 2-for-3 with a double and an RBI.

The Orioles’ lineup for the finale has Jackson Holliday leading off at second base, followed by Alonso, Gunnar Henderson, Basallo, Encarnacion-Strand, Beavers, Mayo, Colton Cowser and Taveras.

For the Cardinals, it’s José Fermín at shortstop, Iván Herrera at DH, Jordan Walker in right, Alec Burleson at first, Joshua Báez in left, Blaze Jordan at third, Ramón Urías at second, Nathan Church in center and Pedro Pagés behind the plate.

Looking beyond today, Brandon Young, Shane Baz and Chris Bassitt are scheduled to start against the Athletics in Sacramento, while the A’s still haven’t listed their starters. The pattern there is hard to miss.

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