Orioles Cannot Let Mike Elias Define This Next Stretch

With the Orioles at risk of missing another postseason, the team might need to consider taking a page from the Astros' playbook and part ways with GM Mike Elias before the 2026 season concludes.

Mike Elias has had plenty of time to shape the Orioles, and the verdict is hard to dress up: the run has not been a full success.

Baltimore hired Elias before the 2019 season after a 47-win year, and he set about tearing the roster down and building from the ground up. In his eighth season running the club, the Orioles have reached the playoffs only twice, and the sense is that the high point may already be behind them.

The breakthrough finally came in 2023, when Baltimore got back to October for the first time since 2016. The Orioles won the AL East with a 101-61 record, only to be swept in three games by the eventual World Series champion Rangers.

A year later, they returned as a Wild Card team and lost two straight to the Royals. Then came a missed postseason in 2025, with another absence looking possible in 2026.

Elias deserves credit for one major piece of the turnaround. He rebuilt the farm system and helped bring in the young core that powered those playoff teams.

His draft work produced Adley Rutschman, Gunnar Henderson, Jordan Westburg, Colton Cowser, Jackson Holiday and others. The frustration comes from what has happened since: he has not built enough around that talent, and he has not sustained a winner.

That’s where the comparison to Houston comes in. The Astros recently moved on from general manager Dana Brown even while sitting atop the AL West.

The argument here is that Baltimore should act with the same urgency. If that wasn’t enough for Houston, the question is why it should be enough in Baltimore.

There is also a real sense of risk around what comes next. Elias already started the Orioles’ teardown, but now there are trade rumors around Henderson and questions about whether another rebuild or re-tool is coming. The source of the concern is simple: before that process goes any further, ownership should make a change.

Baltimore is currently on the outside looking in, trailing the Guardians by 1.5 games for the final Wild Card spot while also fighting the Blue Jays, Rangers and Twins. With an extremely strong final month needed just to get back into the field, the case is to move now, start the search, and avoid a rushed decision once the offseason arrives.

If the Orioles do sneak into the postseason, the argument goes, it would feel more like luck than proof of a sound plan.

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