Dean Kremer has been a cornerstone for the Baltimore Orioles' rotation over the past few years. Since 2022, no pitcher has logged more innings for the Orioles than Kremer, and his 2025 season was a standout, achieving his highest fWAR yet.
So, it was quite the curveball when the team announced he'd start the season in the minors with Norfolk. While this might seem like a setback for Kremer, it could actually play to his advantage this year.
Historically, Kremer struggles in April. His career ERA for the month is a hefty 6.24, nearly two runs higher than any other month.
Last April was particularly rough, with a 7.04 ERA and a 2-4 record, allowing hitters to slash .310/.350/.550 against him. This pattern of slow starts likely factored into the Orioles' decision, though they didn't explicitly say so.
Mike Elias, the team's GM, mentioned that Kremer's demotion came after extensive discussions, hinting that his early-season struggles were part of the equation.
The Orioles' rotation decision was undoubtedly influenced by Kremer's April woes. Elias assured fans that Kremer's stint in the minors would be brief, emphasizing that the team will need more than just five starters to navigate the season. It’s rare for a team to make it through without some rotation shuffling due to injuries or performance dips.
For Kremer, the best-case scenario is clear: he works through his early-season bumps in Triple-A, refines his splitter, and returns to the majors by late April or early May. If he can hit his stride then, he could deliver career-best rate stats, even if his innings are fewer than usual.
The fact that Kremer isn't on the opening day roster speaks volumes about the Orioles' rotation depth. They seem prepared, but should the rotation remain unexpectedly healthy, they’ll face interesting decisions regarding Kremer's role.
Consider these scenarios: If a current starter falters, how quickly will the Orioles pivot to Kremer? If Baz struggles, could he be sent down?
Would Eflin's early issues land him on the IL? Might Bassitt find himself in the bullpen if he can't find his rhythm?
Conversely, if the rotation excels, Kremer's role becomes a puzzle. Approaching the trade deadline, if the rotation is solid and prospect Trey Gibson is ready, Kremer might become trade bait or find himself in the bullpen. The Orioles have options, and only time will reveal their hand.