Auburns Postseason Picture Just Got A Lot More Interesting

As Auburn football eyes its first bowl appearance since 2023, new projections hint at intriguing matchups contingent on key upcoming victories.

Auburn’s bowl picture got a little sharper after Week 10, and the Tigers are now sitting one win away from punching their ticket back to the postseason.

After edging Arkansas 26-23, Auburn moved to 5-4 on the season. That leaves the Tigers needing just one more victory to become bowl eligible for the first time since 2023, and they still have three chances to get there.

The next one comes Saturday at Mississippi State, where Auburn enters as a one-score favorite according to BetMGM. The Bulldogs are on a five-game losing streak, and Auburn has historically handled them well.

If Auburn gets the job done this weekend, it would lock in the program’s best win total since 2023. And if the Tigers can beat both Mississippi State and Samford over the next two weeks, they would reach at least seven wins for the first time since the 2019 season, when Auburn finished with nine.

That possibility has national bowl projections leaning confidently toward Auburn making a return to the postseason. The exact destination still varies, but the general theme is clear: the Tigers are being slotted into games that would give them a shot at a solid Power Four opponent.

USA TODAY Sports’ Erick Smith has moved Auburn off the Birmingham Bowl and into the Texas Bowl, where he projects the Tigers to face Oklahoma State on New Year’s Eve at 6:30 p.m. CT at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. If that matchup holds, it would be the first football meeting between Auburn and Oklahoma State, and Auburn’s first appearance in the Texas Bowl.

ESPN’s Kyle Bonagura and Mark Schlabach have kept their Auburn picks steady from last week. Bonagura has Auburn meeting USF in the Gasparilla Bowl for the fourth straight week, a matchup that would send Alex Golesh, Byrum Brown, and several other current Tigers back to Tampa to face their former team.

Schlabach, meanwhile, continues to project Auburn against Oklahoma State, but in the Liberty Bowl in Memphis. That one would also bring together Alex Golesh and Byrum Brown against Eric Morris and Drew Mestemaker in a former AAC head coach/quarterback battle.

CBS Sports’ Brad Crawford has Auburn in the Liberty Bowl as well, but with Baylor on the other sideline on Dec. 29 in Memphis. It would be a rematch no one would have to squint to recognize, since Auburn already beat Baylor in the Aflac Kickoff Game in Week 1. For Baylor, it would be a chance to answer that September loss.

Athlon Sports made one of the bigger changes in this week’s projections, bumping Auburn from the Gasparilla Bowl to the Liberty Bowl and replacing Virginia with West Virginia as the projected opponent. If that comes to pass, it would be the first Auburn-West Virginia meeting since 2009. Auburn won the last one in the infamous “rain game” at Jordan-Hare Stadium.

On3’s Brett McMurphy also changed course, sending Auburn to the Birmingham Bowl after previously pairing the Tigers with Cincinnati in the Liberty Bowl. This time, he has Auburn facing Illinois.

The Fighting Illini are 6-3 heading into Week 11, with No. 15 Iowa, No.

4 UCLA and Northwestern - which received votes in the latest US LBM Coaches Poll - still ahead on the schedule. That could make the matchup look different by the time Dec. 29 arrives.

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For Auburn, it is another chance to reinforce the start it has built. For Arizona, it is an opportunity to show the loss to UCLA was only a brief stumble and that the group can handle a high-end opponent on the road to a stronger resume. The article points to key players and a few swing factors that could decide whether Arizona can rise to the challenge, which makes this one worth watching well beyond the usual early-season window. [Read more 🡒]