Auburn’s Saturday showdown with Florida has been circled as one of the weekend’s tightest games, but two CBS Sports analysts are leaning toward the Gators.
ESPN has Auburn as the favorite thanks to home field, yet the betting market appears to be pointing the other way. Brad Crawford and Chris Hummer both picked Florida, each offering a different path to the same result.
Hummer was especially direct in his reasoning.
“I don't think this game sets up well for Auburn,” Hummer said. “Florida's defensive front is a strength, and the Tigers looked horrendous up front against Baylor, surrendering 22 pressures.
And until I see it against high-level SEC competition, I'm going to have questions about Byrum Brown, who's been just OK this year since transferring in from South Florida. Give me the Gators on the road to make a statement.”
He projected Florida to win 27-20, pointing to Auburn’s issues up front against Baylor as a major concern. That performance has shaped a lot of the conversation around the Tigers early in the season, and some have wondered whether Auburn is being judged harshly for getting tested by a Power Four opponent so early.
Florida, meanwhile, has taken care of business against Group of Six teams but still hasn’t faced real resistance this season. The Gators looked dominant against FAU and Campbell, though the lack of tougher competition makes them harder to evaluate, particularly on offense against Auburn’s defense.
Crawford also went with Florida, picking the Gators 26-23.
“Jon Sumrall and long-time buddy Alex Golesh both want it known this week that there's going to be no friendly banter between the hashes when these teams get together Saturday night at Jordan-Hare,” Crawford said. “This should be one of the SEC's most competitive games of the weekend, and the right team is favored here since the Gators have the best player on the field -- running back Jadan Baugh… Give him [win] No. 3 in Week 3.”
Baugh gives Florida a real edge in the run game, and he’s the kind of back who can tilt a close matchup. Auburn, though, has been solid against the run so far, and two of its key defenders are expected back after missing Week 2.
That sets up a battle where Florida’s ground attack and Auburn’s front could decide everything. If Baugh gets rolling, the Gators have a path. If Auburn controls him, the Tigers can make the analysts look a lot smarter for the home favorite.
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