November has started to sort out the SEC, and after Week 10 the picture looks a little sharper - even if the league still has plenty of chaos left in it.
Some teams have pushed themselves into safer territory. Others are staring at a rough finish.
And a few are still hanging around that 9-3 conversation, though the margin for error keeps shrinking. Here’s where the SEC stands now, team by team.
Alabama moved itself out of the 9-3 danger zone with a 31-13 road win over LSU, and the path ahead looks manageable. Vanderbilt, Chattanooga and Auburn are the remaining hurdles, and none of them looks likely to stop the Crimson Tide. That leaves Alabama at 10-2.
Georgia keeps looking like the league’s steadiest team. The Bulldogs handled Ole Miss 42-7 and now sit at 11-1 in this projection, with no obvious loss on the horizon. They’ve been the most consistent group in the SEC, and Week 10 did nothing to change that.
Texas also strengthened its position with a 34-20 win over Missouri. The Longhorns are projected to finish 10-2, with LSU up next and Arkansas and Texas A&M after that. If they get through Baton Rouge, the rest of the finish line looks favorable.
Ole Miss took the worst of it in Week 10, getting hammered by Georgia, but the Rebels still have a route to 9-3. The trip to Oklahoma is the key game, and if they can survive that one, Wofford and a Kamario Taylor-less Mississippi State should give them a chance to steady things. The CFP picture is still there, but Norman is the first test.
Tennessee also stayed on track with a 34-6 win over Kentucky, but the next two weeks are a different kind of challenge. A trip to College Station followed by a home date with LSU makes 9-3 the most likely landing spot, even if Vanderbilt on the back end doesn’t look threatening.
South Carolina has quietly turned its season around. After starting 2-3, the Gamecocks beat Texas A&M 17-9 and now look set for 8-4. Georgia at home is a massive ask, but wins at Arkansas and Clemson have changed the feel of the season in Columbia.
Kentucky’s 34-6 loss to Tennessee was a jolt, but the Wildcats still project to finish 9-3. Florida comes to Lexington next, and the final two games are winnable enough that 9-3 remains the logical call.
LSU dropped to Alabama and now faces a brutal stretch with Texas and a trip to Tennessee still ahead. Even so, it’s hard to picture the Tigers losing all three, so they land at 8-4.
Missouri got slowed by Texas and now has a tough closing stretch, with Georgia, Kentucky and Oklahoma all looming in some form. The Tigers should find one more win somewhere, but the projection settles at 7-5.
Auburn’s 26-23 win over Arkansas kept its season moving in the right direction. The Tigers are bowl eligible and should have a good shot to add another win at Mississippi State, which pushes them to 7-5.
Florida fell 23-7 to Oklahoma and now heads to Lexington for a game that won’t be easy. If that one goes the wrong way, Vanderbilt and Florida State would still give Jon Sumrall’s squad a chance to finish on a better note. The Gators are projected at 7-5.
Oklahoma picked up a 23-7 win over Florida and looked a little livelier with Jason Witten calling plays, but the finish is still tricky. Ole Miss and Texas A&M come to Norman, and Missouri is also on the schedule. A 7-5 finish is possible, but 6-6 is the safer call for a team that’s been too inconsistent.
Mississippi State dropped a 25-23 game to Vanderbilt and now looks headed away from the postseason. Auburn and Ole Miss are both difficult asks, and the Bulldogs finish at 5-7.
Texas A&M is in a tough spot after the loss to South Carolina. The Aggies need to win at Oklahoma and then pull off an upset against either Tennessee or Texas at home just to reach bowl eligibility. Right now, that looks like a lot to ask, so they’re projected at 5-7.
Arkansas fell 26-23 to Auburn and is close to running out of road. South Carolina, Texas and LSU are still left, and the Razorbacks are projected to finish 3-9.
Vanderbilt earned a 25-23 win over Mississippi State, but the road ahead is still steep. Alabama, Florida and Tennessee remain, and the Commodores are projected to finish 4-8.
In Other News...
Auburn Just Landed A Massive Piece For Its Future Up Front
Auburn added another promising building block for the future up front with the commitment of four-star offensive lineman Jatori Williams, a 2027 prospect whose decision gives the Tigers an early foothold in a class that already has some real traction. Williams had been pledged to Miami before shifting his attention to Auburn, and his move underscores how much the Tigers have leaned on relationship-building as they try to stack talent along the line of scrimmage.
For Auburn, the appeal goes beyond rankings. Williams pointed to his bond with the coaching staff and the chance to stay close to his hometown as major factors in his choice, and those are the kinds of details that can matter just as much as a polished pitch on signing day. He now stands as the third-highest-rated commit in Auburns 2027 class and one of the top offensive line prospects in the country, a strong early marker for a program trying to secure its future in the trenches. [Read more 🡒]
Auburn Still Has One Big Question Before Arizona Showdown
Auburn took care of business against Appalachian State, rolling to a 75-53 win behind Tahaad Pettifords 26 points and keeping control for most of the afternoon. The victory also extended the Tigers non-conference home winning streak to 69 games, another reminder that Neville Arena has remained a difficult place for visiting teams to survive.
Now the schedule tightens quickly with No. 13 Arizona next on the slate, and that matchup will ask a different set of questions than the Mountaineers did. Auburn has shown it can handle business at home, but the Wildcats bring the kind of challenge that can expose what still needs sorting out before the Tigers get deeper into the season. [Read more 🡒]
Auburns Latest Commitment Signals A Bigger Fix Up Front
Auburns offensive line issues have been impossible to ignore this season, with the struggles showing up both in the rushing game and in the amount of protection the quarterback has gotten. So when Alex Golesh and his staff started building the 2027 class, the emphasis up front made sense, and the Tigers have already added five new offensive linemen as part of that effort.
The latest piece of that approach is four-star interior lineman Jatori Williams, a commitment that fits the broader push to stabilize the trenches for future seasons. Auburn has also brought in running backs Myson Johnson-Cook and Khamoni Williams, but the line remains the clearest priority, and the staffs early work suggests it knows the fix has to start there. [Read more 🡒]