The Dodgers are still in the mix for a first-round bye, but the cushion is thin and the concern is growing. Heading into play on September 7, Los Angeles holds just a one-game edge over the Atlanta Braves, and ESPN’s Buster Olney believes that gap may not hold.
Olney’s read is straightforward: the Dodgers’ recent offensive slump is the reason he expects them to fall short of the bye. Even with the easier path on the schedule, he sees enough trouble in the lineup to make a different outcome likely.
"The Dodgers' schedule is easier than that of the Braves, who have two series against the Phillies, plus sets against the Rays and Cubs," Olney writes. "But the Dodgers' offensive issues are real, and they might have to rest Ohtani to get him right by the start of the postseason."
That last part matters because Shohei Ohtani has not looked fully healthy, and Los Angeles has already had to navigate stretches without him in the lineup. With Kyle Tucker struggling and Andy Pages sidelined by injury, the Dodgers haven’t had the steady production they need to keep control of the race.
The numbers back up the concern. Over the last 30 days, the Dodgers rank 10th-worst in baseball offensively, with a .702 OPS, 23 home runs and 116 runs scored.
Normally, a club this deep could survive a short dip without much damage. But the Dodgers haven’t been hitting well enough to make that feel safe right now, and the possibility of giving Ohtani extra rest only adds another layer of uncertainty.
At this point, the bye is still there for the taking. It just doesn’t look like a lock anymore.
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