As the Braves gear up for their matchup against the Royals, all eyes are on Reynaldo Lopez. After missing nearly all of 2025, Lopez steps into the spotlight as Atlanta's de facto number two starter. With Spencer Schwellenbach, Hurston Waldrep, and Spencer Strider sidelined due to injuries, the Braves are counting on Lopez to deliver behind veteran Chris Sale.
Lopez's health and performance could be pivotal for the Braves' 2026 campaign. His 2024 season was impressive, showcasing a knack for outperforming his peripherals with a 48/74/85 line (ERA-/FIP-/xFIP-). However, a shoulder injury cut his 2025 season short after just one start, leaving fans and analysts wondering if he can recapture that form.
This season, Lopez remains a bit of a mystery. While he avoided injury during Spring Training, his recent outings raised eyebrows with diminished velocity and mechanical issues.
The Braves have attributed these problems to a mechanical misadjustment, and GM Alex Anthopoulos has expressed confidence in Lopez's recovery. But the true test will come on the mound, where Lopez must prove he's ready to handle big league pitching again.
If he struggles, the Braves' bullpen will need to step up and cover the innings.
On the other side, the Royals are eager for their first win of 2026, led by Michael Wacha. The 34-year-old signed a substantial deal with Kansas City in 2024 and has delivered solid performances, including a career-high 3.6 fWAR last season. Wacha's success has been partly due to a low HR/FB rate, and the Braves will aim to challenge that by flexing their power at the plate.
Wacha hasn't faced the Braves since 2023, when he dominated them. However, history shows the Braves have had success against him in the past, making this matchup intriguing. Similarly, Lopez has a mixed record against the Royals, but past performances might not hold much weight given the changes both pitchers have undergone.
As the Braves look to start the season 2-0, they'll need to continue building momentum and shake off last year's setbacks. The showdown at Truist Park promises to be a compelling contest, with both teams eager to make an early statement.