Braves Have Two Reasons For Hope And One Serious Concern

As the Braves gear up for playoff contention, Austin Riley's resurgence, solid starting pitching, and Raisel Iglesias's struggles shape their current trajectory.

Wednesday night’s win over the Mets lined up neatly with three big things going on for the Braves right now: Austin Riley looks like himself again, the rotation suddenly has some real life, and Raisel Iglesias is still trying to find his way through a rough stretch.

The biggest jolt came from Riley. After a season that kept swinging between promising bursts and frustrating slumps, the Braves third baseman has put together enough over the last month to call it a real turnaround.

He was a triple shy of the cycle on Wednesday, and in his final at-bat he sent a ball deep to right-center that was hauled in at the wall. Without that defensive play, the Braves might have had their first cycle since 2021.

This isn’t just about one big night, though. Since the All-Star break, Riley is hitting nearly .300 with an .891 OPS, and he looks far more controlled and balanced at the plate than he has at other points this season. If that version shows up the rest of the way, the Braves’ offense has a case to be the best in baseball.

The pitching picture has changed, too. What used to feel shaky now has a little more shape to it.

Martin Pérez hasn’t allowed a run over 18 straight innings. Tyler Mahle has been nearly spotless in his first two Braves starts, giving up one run across 12 innings with 16 strikeouts.

Grant Holmes has stacked back-to-back outings of six scoreless innings. And AJ Smith-Shawver may be back in the majors soon after his best showing yet for the Gwinnett Stripers, where he allowed one baserunner over 5.1 innings and struck out seven.

It’s still a small sample, and nobody’s pretending October is solved. But right now, the rotation doesn’t look hopeless, especially with Chris Sale at the front of it.

The uneasy part is at the back end of games. Iglesias didn’t blow Wednesday night’s win, but he’s been fighting through a stretch that has become hard to ignore.

Since June 9, over 24 appearances, he has a 4.88 ERA and 4.95 FIP, with five home runs allowed. He’s given up runs in six of his last twelve outings.

The Braves don’t have much choice but to keep trusting him, and they’ve seen him turn this kind of thing around before. In the first half of last season, Iglesias posted a 6.75 ERA in 25 appearances, then came back with a 1.25 ERA over his final 45. He’s got about six weeks to sort it out.

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