Braves Fans Have A Real Reason To Worry About This Top Pick

The Braves appear confident in their draft strategy, but fans should keep a close eye on Jensen Hirschkorn's commitment as he weighs his options between the MLB and college.

The Atlanta Braves took a calculated swing in the 2026 MLB Draft, and the early part of that plan was easy to read. After selecting AJ Gracia with the ninth overall pick and Indiana State outfielder Carter Beck in the second round, Atlanta was clearly banking on under-slot deals up top so it could go hunting later. That approach paid off with a run of high-upside prep arms, including a trio of expensive picks in a row, plus more talent in the sixth and 11th rounds.

The most notable of those over-slot selections is California prep right-hander Jensen Hirschkorn, and he’s the one drawing the most attention now. At 6-foot-7 and 205 pounds, Hirschkorn already brings a mid-90s fastball with more velocity possible as he adds strength, along with a slider that looks like a potential plus pitch and a changeup that has flashed promise. With that kind of profile, it makes sense the Braves were willing to reportedly go to $3.5-4 million to get him.

There’s another layer here, too: Hirschkorn is committed to LSU, which means NIL money is almost certainly part of the equation. After being taken in the third round, he made comments that sounded like he was still weighing whether he’d actually sign with Atlanta. That naturally caught Braves fans’ attention.

Just finished talking to @Braves 3rd round pick, Jensen Hirschkorn. The Kingsburg-born RHP is mulling a decision between LSU and Atlanta.

He couldn’t go in detail on the money offered from both sides, but hear why it is “the toughest decision of my life”… tonight on @KMPHFOX26. pic.twitter.com/O5DnMdR5i0

  • Gabe Camarillo (@gabecamarillo_) July 12, 2026

Still, there’s a reason not to hit the panic button yet. Hirschkorn calling it the “toughest decision of my life” does create some uncertainty, and LSU’s booster-backed spending power is part of the backdrop. But it’s also possible he’s simply trying to handle the situation carefully while showing respect to a program he clearly values.

The bigger point is that players taken this high almost always end up signing. Braves first-round pick Carter Stewart back in 2018 remains one of the rare exceptions.

Atlanta also wouldn’t have made Hirschkorn the pick it did without some confidence that he was headed its way. The club didn’t leave itself a clean fallback option in the later rounds, and if Hirschkorn were to back out after agreeing to terms, that would reflect poorly on both him and his agent around the league.

There’s also the basic reality of the risk involved with a prep pitcher. That’s a volatile demographic, and turning down what amounts to first-round money would be a hard sell. If Hirschkorn does end up going elsewhere, though, the way Atlanta’s draft class and strategy are viewed would change fast, and not in a good way.

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