Nearly six months after Arizona’s season ended in the Final Four, the Wildcats are back at the start of the road, and the first stop is a familiar one: Las Vegas against UCLA.
That Monday opener launches Year 6 of the Tommy Lloyd era, and it comes with a little more weight than a normal season debut. Lloyd has already raised the standard in Tucson, and he said in Indianapolis that he hoped to reach five Final Fours in a 10-year stretch. Arizona’s next run toward that goal begins against an old Pac-12 rival in T-Mobile Arena.
“I’m sure it’ll be an entertaining ride,” Lloyd said of the opener. “I’m sure a lot of (fans) are going to hinge the hopes of our season on how Monday night goes.
I’m not, but I’m sure they will. We’re going to give it our best shot.”
The Wildcats are listed as a 4.5-point favorite at FanDuel Sportsbook, and they have not dropped a season opener since a loss at Virginia in November 2006. Still, Lloyd made clear he doesn’t see this game as a make-or-break moment.
“We’re just looking forward to get out there playing great competition and getting the experience,” Lloyd said. “What’s great when you play games at this level this early is, man, you got to have to hit fast forward on the development of the team, and this is a great opportunity to do that because you’re going to be tested.
One of the cool things about college basketball is, you win, it probably serves you well. You lose, it probably doesn’t hurt you much.”
Arizona will also honor the late Bill Walton at the game, bringing the custom tie-dyed chair it made for him to T-Mobile Arena.
One of the biggest questions is how Lloyd will set his rotation. He made a notable change last season after the exhibition games, moving Ivan Kharchenkov into the starting five and sending Anthony Dell’Orso to the bench. That decision paid off quickly, with Kharchenkov posting a double-double in his first college game and Dell’Orso becoming a key scoring option in reserve.
This time, Lloyd has used the same five of Kharchenkov, Derek Dixon, Caleb Holt, Bryce James and Motiejus Krivas against San Francisco, San Diego State and Eastern Washington. That group also started the final two exhibitions in Lithuania, after Cameron Holmes opened over James in the first game, which was the only loss of the bunch.
RJ Godfrey would have started at the 4 if he were available, which would have shifted Kharchenkov to the 3 and James to the bench, but that is not the case at the moment. If Lloyd changes the lineup, James appears to be the most likely player to come out, though Holmes, transfer Ugnius Jarusevicius and freshman Maksim Brnovic are all possibilities. Lloyd also said he could simply stay with what he has been using.
“We’ve kind of done it for six games now, I don’t know how much more of a test case you guys need to be comfortable with it,” Lloyd said. “I think we’ve shown you guys what it could look like.”
He also pointed out that Kharchenkov handled the 4 well at times as a freshman, especially when Koa Peat was out and Tobe Awaka was backing up Krivas at center.
Washington transfer JJ Mandaquit looks like the most likely bench piece to see major minutes, whether he is filling in for Holt or sharing the floor with him in a two-point-guard setup.
Arizona will have at least one freshman in the starting lineup in Holt, who becomes the fourth first-year player to start a season opener under Lloyd. UCLA will also have at least one freshman debuting in its starting five, and that player could be a major factor right away.
Nikola Kusturica, a 6-foot-9 wing from Serbia, drew strong praise from Lloyd, who called him “maybe the best international kid” signed this offseason. Kusturica has already played professionally in Spain, and over the summer he averaged 24.6 points, 6.9 rebounds and 2.7 assists for Serbia in the FIBA U17 World Cup.
UCLA brings back starters Xavier Booker, Eric Dailey Jr. and Trent Perry, who combined for 26 points and 12 rebounds against Arizona last season. The Bruins also added transfers, including former Texas Tech guard Jaylen Petty. Under eighth-year coach Mick Cronin, UCLA is projected to finish fourth in the Big 12 and is ranked 25th by KenPom.
“Mick’s got a good crew,” Lloyd said. “They definitely look really good, and you know they’ll be well coached and just be sound, sound and solid and physical and all those things that kind of contribute to being consistent. I mean, they look like to me they have all the makings for having a really good season.”
Cronin’s teams have made life difficult for Arizona, even when the Wildcats have come out on top. He is 7-7 against Arizona at UCLA, and all seven of those losses have come since Lloyd arrived in 2021-22. Five of those games were decided by two possessions or fewer.
That includes last year’s meeting, when freshmen Kharchenkov, Peat and Brayden Burries all had rough nights on offense. The trio shot 6 of 18 and committed 11 turnovers, a sign Lloyd believes showed how Cronin tried to attack the young Wildcats.
“Mick’s always done a really good job at trying to figure out a couple matchup-type things he feels comfortable in, and like making your defense make decisions and simple little actions where he can kind of create some certainty,” Lloyd said. “He’s really good at that game, so I don’t know if it’s matchup specific, but maybe it is. We’ll see.”
In Other News...
Arizona Just Saw Its Win Streak End For A Familiar Reason
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The bigger concern may have come in the third quarter, when freshman receiver R.J. Mosley went down with a lower leg injury and had to be carted off. For a team already trying to steady itself after a frustrating loss, the injury added another layer of uncertainty to a night that left Arizona with more questions than it had at kickoff. [Read more 🡒]
Arizona Faces A Tricky Friday Night Test It Can't Afford To Waste
Friday night brings a tricky Big 12 test to Casino Del Sol Stadium, where Arizona is set to host TCU in an 8:15 p.m. MST kickoff. The Wildcats enter at 6-2 and have put themselves in position to matter in the league race, while the Horned Frogs arrive at 4-4 looking for a road win that could steady their season and complicate Arizonas path.
For Arizona, the matchup carries more weight than a typical late-season home game because the margin for error is getting thinner. The Wildcats have been strong enough to earn respect in the betting market and on the field, but this is the kind of Friday-night spot that can either keep momentum rolling or leave a lingering mark as the schedule tightens. [Read more 🡒]
Arizonas Texas Tech Loss Exposed A Bigger Concern Than The Score
The final score from Arizonas loss to Texas Tech was frustrating enough, but the deeper concern showed up in the grading. Pro Football Focus gave the Wildcats a 66.3 overall, with the offense at 63.0 and the defense at 67.5, a split that suggests the game was competitive in stretches without ever really feeling clean. The individual grades and snap counts told the same story, with a few players standing out even in defeat.
Isaiah Mizell was the bright spot on offense, while Cam Chapa led the way on defense, but the bigger issue was how difficult it was for Arizona to generate consistent push. The numbers point to a unit that had enough moments to stay in the game, yet not enough cohesion to control it, and that is the kind of problem that tends to linger long after one loss is forgotten. [Read more 🡒]