Noah Fifita Puts Arizonas Big 12 Outlook Under A Harsh Spotlight

As the Big 12 remains as unpredictable as ever, all eyes are on Texas Tech to break a six-year streak of varied champions, buoyed by strategic scheduling and standout talent.

The Big 12 keeps changing its face, but oddsmakers are betting this season won’t end the same way. After six different conference champions in the past six years, the league has built a reputation for chaos. FanDuel Sportsbook, though, sees Texas Tech as the team most likely to bring some order to it.

The Red Raiders are the clear favorite at -110, with BYU next at +500 and Utah at +900. Texas Tech won the Big 12 in 2025 and enters the season with the league’s deepest preseason recognition, placing seven players on the Preseason All-Big 12 team.

That group includes preseason Defensive Player of the Year A.J. Holmes Jr., a defensive lineman.

There’s also a straightforward reason Texas Tech has separated itself from the pack: it does not have to play BYU or Utah in the regular season. With that kind of path, anything short of a trip to the conference title game would feel like a letdown in Lubbock. The Red Raiders are also trying to become the Big 12’s first back-to-back champion since Oklahoma ran the table from 2015-2020.

Behind the top tier, Arizona sits in a more intriguing spot. The Wildcats are seventh in the conference title market at +2500, behind Houston (+1500), TCU (+1700) and Kansas State (+1900), as well as the three teams ahead of them.

That number looks modest next to Arizona’s returning quarterback Noah Fifita, who is the most experienced quarterback in the Big 12. But the schedule explains the gap.

Arizona has to go to BYU, Texas Tech and Kansas State, while also hosting TCU and Utah. With at least five conference contenders on the slate, oddsmakers are clearly not eager to push Brent Brennan’s team much higher. Still, for bettors who think Arizona can make a real run, the Wildcats come with appealing value at that price.

If you want a true long shot, Oklahoma State is the name to circle. The Cowboys are sitting at +2700 and are entering their first season under Eric Morris, the former North Texas coach. They should have plenty of firepower with quarterback Drew Mestemaker, who led college football in passing yards for the 2025 season at North Texas, and one of his top weapons came with him: wide receiver Wyatt Young, an All-Big 12 preseason selection.

Oklahoma State’s path is not spotless, but it does have some room early. The Cowboys open conference play with games against UCF, West Virginia and Colorado, and they also get Texas Tech at home later in the year. The schedule gets tougher as the season goes on, but the setup gives Oklahoma State a real chance to hang around in the Big 12 race.

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