Arizona State is heading into its first real Big 12 gut check with a few unresolved issues still hanging around.
A 70-7 opener, a strange finish in SEC territory and a messy win in London have left Kenny Dillingham’s team in a pretty hard-to-read spot. Now the Sun Devils get a 3-1 Baylor team in Tempe on Saturday night, under the lights, coming off a bye week. With conference play now offering no safety net and nine straight games ahead, this is the kind of home game that can either settle things down or make the questions louder.
The biggest one is still the offense.
ASU won in London two weeks ago, but it did not win because the offense was humming. Turnovers, special teams and field position carried the day while quarterback Cutter Boley finished 11-for-23 for 95 yards. Dillingham took the blame afterward, pointing directly at his own approach.
"We have enough guys who can help us. And like I said, I've done a very, very bad job offensively getting guys involved."
That comment hangs over this matchup. The issue now is whether the problems belong more to Dillingham or Boley.
The transfer quarterback managed only 4.7 yards per pass attempt against Kansas, and his second-half numbers have dipped sharply this season. His completion percentage drops more than 10% from his first-half average, and he has only four successful throws over 15 yards after halftime, compared with 13 in first halves.
Saturday should give the Sun Devils a cleaner setting. No London rain, no jet lag, just two weeks of prep and a home conference game. If the offense stalls again late in a close one, the conversation around it will get much more serious.
There is also a major change at tight end. ASU will play its first game since TE1 Khamari Anderson suffered a season-ending injury, and the spotlight now shifts to who fills that role.
Right now, sophomore A.J. Ia looks like the answer.
The six-foot-six, 265-pound tight end arrived in 2024 with plenty of buzz and has spent one season and three games waiting for his breakout in maroon and gold. On Wednesday night, though, he reportedly turned heads in practice, including Dillingham’s.
"That could've been his best practice as a Sun Devil, from a physicality standpoint," Dillingham said. "Everyone knows he can catch the ball and do all those things, but the thing about AJ is, I've challenged him a lot.
He's never once shied away from it, he's always accepted the challenge, he just tries to get better. He's really been getting better, better and better.
Today (Wednesday), physicality- wise, up front, blocking, was his best day as a Sun Devil."
Blocking has been the question with Ia, who is viewed more as a receiving tight end. That matters even more now with Anderson out, since Anderson had been one of ASU’s best blockers over the last two seasons. James Giggey and Anthony Miller are next on the depth chart, and both may have a slight edge in blocking right now, but Ia’s ceiling is the one that stands out.
"That kid can play on Sundays, he can play for as long as he wants." Dillingham said.
Whether it’s as a receiver or in the run game, Ia should be involved against Baylor.
The other side of the ball has already shown it can swing games. Brian Ward’s defense was the headline in London, where three turnovers helped win the game for Arizona State. Takeaways have been a theme through three games: three red zone turnovers helped shut down Kansas, including a 75-yard return that helped spark the offense, and against Texas A&M, S Lyrik Rawls picked off a pass to open the second half and give the Sun Devils their best momentum of the afternoon.
Still, the broader numbers leave some room for concern. ASU ranks third in the Big 12 in points allowed per game, fourth in rushing yards allowed and third-to-last in sacks.
One matchup stat stands out for this week. Arizona State is allowing just 161.3 passing yards per game, the second-lowest mark in the conference, and Baylor brings a pass-heavy offense that ranks fourth in passing yards. Something has to give.
So while the offense tries to clean up its issues, the defense gets another chance to keep its early-season momentum rolling. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. Arizona Time at Mountain America Stadium.
In Other News...
Arizona States Path Just Got Tougher Than Sun Devils Fans Hoped
Arizona State comes out of a demanding stretch having split consecutive road games against Texas A&M and Kansas, taking the loss in College Station before leaving Lawrence with a win. It was the kind of early-season road test that can clarify where a team stands, and it left the Sun Devils with a little momentum but also a reminder that the margin for error is already thinning.
ESPNs Football Power Index has Arizona State at 57th nationally with a 3.0 rating, projecting a season that looks more like a fight to stay above water than a clear run at the top of the league. The model gives the Sun Devils about a 58.5 percent chance to reach bowl eligibility, but their odds of winning out are listed at zero percent, a sobering number for a team trying to build something in a crowded Big 12 race. [Read more 🡒]
ASU Fans Heading To Baylor Need This Game Day Info
Sun Devil Football returns to Mountain America Stadium on Saturday, Oct. 3, for a 7:30 p.m. kickoff against Baylor, and the school is making sure fans have the essentials before they head out. The game-day release lays out the key logistics for the night, including tailgating rules, parking information, stadium policies and the services available inside the venue for anyone planning to attend.
For fans still sorting out their plans, there are also details on ticket availability, the official game day app and nearby dining and shopping options around the stadium. With a night kickoff on tap, the extra information should help smooth out the pregame routine and make it easier for the Sun Devil crowd to settle in for one of the bigger home dates on the schedule. [Read more 🡒]
Arizona State Faces An Early Test That Could Define This Offense
A night game in Tempe brings an early measuring-stick moment for Arizona States offense, with Baylor set to provide a defense that should reveal a lot about how far this unit has come. The matchup puts the Sun Devils passing game under the microscope, and the intrigue starts up front, where Baylors defensive front will try to disrupt rhythm before Arizona State can settle into the kind of tempo it wants.
Lagway, Gavin Freeman and Cutter Boley all factor into the chess match, giving the Sun Devils multiple ways to stress a Baylor defense that will have to sort out assignments quickly. With the game carrying real value as an early-season barometer, Arizona State will get a clear sense of whether its offense can handle pressure, stay efficient and turn one of these headline matchups into an advantage. [Read more 🡒]