Tuesday’s 16-game MLB slate gives bettors plenty of home run angles, and three names stand out if you’re looking for a swing-for-the-fences prop card: Ketel Marte, Zach Neto and Juan Soto.
Marte has been locked in for Arizona, and the numbers back it up. Over the last two weeks, he’s hitting .292 with five home runs and a 1.046 OPS. He’s up to 17 homers on the season, with 10 coming against right-handed pitching.
That makes him an appealing play against San Diego’s German Marquez, who is making just his second appearance since coming off the injured list. Marquez was dealing with a forearm injury and even worked out of the bullpen in his last outing.
Marte has seen plenty of him over the years, and the matchup has tilted in Marte’s favor: he’s 14-for-46 with three doubles, two homers and a .940 OPS against Marquez. The pitcher has also been vulnerable to the long ball, giving up eight home runs in seven appearances while carrying a 5.79 ERA.
Neto is another right-handed bat worth a look, especially at a price north of 4/1 against Texas and Jacob deGrom. The Angels shortstop has already launched 19 home runs this season and owns a .781 OPS, and he’s hitting .300 over his last five games.
The case here is simple: Neto has handled deGrom extremely well in his career, going 5-for-10 with two homers and a 1.845 OPS against the former Cy Young winner. DeGrom has also been giving up homers this year, with 16 allowed in 17 starts despite a 3.48 ERA.
Another point in Neto’s favor: 14 of his 19 homers in 2026 have come against right-handed pitching.
Soto rounds out the group, and he remains one of the most dangerous power targets on the board. He’s batting .301 with 19 home runs this season for a Mets team that has been one of the most disappointing in MLB, but his production against righties has been excellent.
Soto is hitting .302 with a 1.047 OPS versus right-handed pitching, which puts him in a strong spot against Kansas City’s Seth Lugo. Lugo, a former Met, has a 4.20 ERA and has surrendered 12 home runs in 17 appearances.
Soto hasn’t exactly torched Lugo in their head-to-head meetings - he’s 4-for-16 with one homer - but he’s homered twice in the last week and is batting .300 over that stretch. The price also helps, since he’s often shorter than 3/1 to go deep. And even if Lugo doesn’t give him much to work with, the Royals’ bullpen offers another path, ranking 29th in ERA at 5.21 and allowing 51 homers this season.
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
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