Greg McElroy isn’t seeing another Vanderbilt shocker in Nashville.
The former Alabama quarterback, who once ran Nick Saban’s offense and knows this rivalry from the inside, weighed in on Saturday’s Week 11 matchup on his Always College Football podcast earlier this week. His read was clear: Alabama should handle its business when the Crimson Tide meet the Commodores at 12:45 p.m. ET on SEC Network.
McElroy called for a 38-17 Alabama win and said he expects the Tide to cover the 17.5-point spread. His confidence comes with Alabama sitting at 7-2 overall and 5-2 in the SEC, riding a two-game winning streak and still keeping its College Football Playoff hopes alive. The margin for error is thin, but McElroy sees a team that has settled in heading into the road trip.
Vanderbilt, meanwhile, is still searching for answers in the first season after Diego Pavia. The Commodores are 4-5 overall and 1-5 in SEC play, and McElroy pointed to the challenge of keeping pace with Alabama’s offense if the game turns into a track meet.
“I’m taking Alabama to win the game, 38-17,” McElroy said. “I think they’ll cover that (betting) number of 17.5 (points). Vanderbilt’s splits gives them a puncher’s chance, but Alabama’s quarterback (Keelon Russell) has been punching back with 40-yard passes all season.”
For Vanderbilt to have a real shot, McElroy said the Commodores need to drag the game into a slower rhythm and limit Alabama’s chances with the ball.
“Alabama finishes drives, and Vanderbilt gives away possessions,” added McElroy, who’s not buying into any nonsense going down on Saturday afternoon in the form of another shocking upset in the Music City.
The matchup does bring a little history with it. Vanderbilt beat Alabama in the same stadium two years ago, and Alabama was No. 1 when it took that loss. McElroy, though, doesn’t expect a repeat of that scene this time around.
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It is the kind of late-season test that can reshape the conversation around a contender in a hurry, especially when other top teams like Georgia, Utah and UCLA are also navigating their own dangerous stretches. Alabamas margin for error remains thin, and this one opponent stands out as the most obvious threat to turning a strong season into a messy race for positioning. [Read more 🡒]