The first College Football Playoff rankings of the season did not exactly arrive with clarity. They arrived with a message, and that message was loud: the SEC is in great shape.
Eight SEC teams landed higher in the CFP rankings than they did in this week’s AP poll, a striking boost for a conference that already spends plenty of time selling its schedule. Two two-loss SEC teams were placed ahead of undefeated UCLA, which says plenty about how the committee is weighing strength of schedule.
That part at least was consistent. The rest of the rankings? Not so much.
The selection committee’s Tuesday night reveal sparked the usual wave of frustration, but this time the inconsistency stood out in a different way. Head-to-head results seemed to matter for some teams and barely register for others.
Alabama, the highest-ranked two-loss team at No. 5, got major credit for its win over one-loss Kentucky. Yet Tennessee, also with two losses, beat Alabama by three scores two weeks ago and still ended up eight spots behind the Tide.
Notre Dame took one of the biggest hits in the rankings, landing at No. 11, seven spots below where the Irish sit in the AP poll. Committee chairman Hunter Yurachek pointed to Notre Dame’s schedule as the reason.
“They don’t have that signature win right now,” Yurachek said.
That explanation opened the door to an obvious question: what about Indiana? The Hoosiers also do not have a win over a team in the committee’s Top 25.
They have one loss, the same as Notre Dame, but the team that beat Indiana, Ohio State at No. 12, is ranked below the team that beat Notre Dame, BYU at No. 9.
Even with that, Indiana is sitting at No. 4 overall, despite some uneven recent performances and narrow wins over unranked opponents.
The committee’s approach looked all over the map. But when it came to the SEC, the pattern was clear.
Alabama was placed four spots higher than its AP ranking. Kentucky was up two.
Texas moved up three. Ole Miss rose two.
Tennessee climbed three. LSU gained one spot.
Missouri gained one. South Carolina gained two.
The AP poll is not the final word on anything, but the gap shows the committee sees these SEC teams more favorably than the public does.
That favor is showing up in the way wins and losses are being treated. SEC teams are getting plenty of credit for their victories and not taking much damage for defeats, even when those losses are lopsided. In other words, they’re getting the exact kind of treatment their coaches have been lobbying for all offseason: respect for surviving a brutal SEC slate.
It also helps when South Carolina and Florida are both top-25 teams, because those rankings strengthen the résumés of Alabama, Kentucky, Georgia and Missouri. That is how the back end of the Top 25 can work - not just as a ranking of teams, but as a tool that can be used to prop up whichever résumés the committee wants to emphasize.
The bigger takeaway from this messy first release is simple enough. The SEC is sitting pretty, with a pile of two- and three-loss teams still very much in the CFP conversation.
Alabama looks especially safe. The Tide are No. 5 with LSU coming up next.
Even if they lose that game and then beat Vanderbilt, Chattanooga and Auburn, it is tough to picture the committee pushing them far enough down to knock them out of the 12-team field.
And Kalen DeBoer did not even need to deliver a stump speech to get there.
Neither did SEC commissioner Greg Sankey. But his years of pushing for the conference’s schedule and depth to be valued have clearly had an effect. The committee appears to be taking that message seriously, giving the SEC’s best teams every possible benefit of the doubt while doing its best to minimize the damage from those pesky losses.
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Finebaum also pointed to Kentucky as an unexpected piece of the larger picture, another result Alabama has reason to watch closely while trying to keep its own path to the College Football Playoff alive. In a conference race where Alabama and LSU are being measured against one another, the Wildcats performance could end up shaping how the playoff conversation looks around the Tide, even before the league's biggest games finish sorting themselves out. [Read more 🡒]
