Alabama's Playoff Push Suddenly Rides On One Huge Offensive Question

Alabama looks to regain its footing and halt its losing streak against a struggling Texas A&M in a pivotal Week 8 showdown.

No. 13 Alabama heads into Week 8 with urgency baked into the matchup, and the Crimson Tide will try to stop the slide when Texas A&M comes to town for a major SEC showdown.

Alabama opened the season 5-0, but back-to-back losses to Georgia and Tennessee knocked the Crimson Tide out of the top 10 and put more pressure on the rest of the schedule. With only one more ranked opponent left beyond this weekend, Alabama needs to keep winning if it wants a real shot at the College Football Playoff.

Texas A&M arrives with its own problems. The Aggies, who earned a playoff berth in 2025, are 4-3 overall and 1-3 in SEC play.

They did bounce back with a lopsided win over The Citadel, but that doesn’t erase what’s happened against quality opponents. Texas A&M has faced three ranked teams - Missouri, Kentucky and LSU - and lost each one by double digits.

In two of those games, the Aggies scored just six points.

That leaves Alabama in a strong spot at home, at least on paper. Oddsmakers have the Crimson Tide favored by more than two touchdowns.

The biggest question for Alabama is whether sophomore quarterback Keelon Russell can rediscover the rhythm that made him a Heisman candidate earlier in the season. His production has cooled sharply over the last two weeks.

Russell has been held under 200 passing yards in consecutive games, including a 147-yard performance in the loss to Tennessee. He threw two interceptions in that game and added a rushing touchdown.

Even with the recent dip, Russell’s season numbers still stand out. He has completed 67.5 percent of his passes for 1,746 yards and 12 touchdowns with four interceptions. He’s also been a factor as a runner, carrying the ball 57 times for 231 yards and five touchdowns.

Alabama’s offense has been explosive at times under Kalen DeBoer, and the Crimson Tide have scored at least 45 points in each of their five wins. But that unit has gone cold lately, failing to reach 20 points in each of the last two weeks. Now it draws a Texas A&M defense that has quietly been the strength of the team.

The Aggies rank 17th in adjusted EPA/Play, 20th in success rate and inside the top 30 in EPA/Pass and EPA/Rush. They’re also 12th nationally in third/fourth down success rate.

Alabama’s defense has been just as impressive. The Crimson Tide sit 10th in the country in adjusted EPA/Play and 11th in success rate, and they’ve been especially strong against the run, ranking fourth in rush success rate. That could create a tough day for Marcel Reed and a Texas A&M passing game that ranks 127th in the country in EPA/Pass.

The scoring history against ranked SEC opponents doesn’t offer much comfort for the Aggies either. Texas A&M has put up 21 points against one ranked league foe, then six and six in the other two.

With Alabama’s offense cooling off and Texas A&M’s attack struggling to produce against top competition, the total is drawing attention. The spread is wide enough to make the cover less appealing, but the better look here is the under, especially if the number stays in the 50s.

I’d understand picking the Crimson Tide to cover here, but I don’t love that the spread is now outside two touchdowns. Instead, I’m going to bet on both of these defenses and take the UNDER.

As long as this total remains in the 50s, the UNDER is worth a look on Saturday.

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Texas A&M brings its own questions, but the Aggies have at least shown signs of improvement on defense, which only adds to the challenge Alabama is facing. Both teams need a response to steady their SEC standing, and for Alabama the pressure is about more than one result. It is about whether the slide gets stopped now, before it becomes something harder to shake. [Read more 🡒]

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Now the path looks a little more open. With EJ Crowell dealing with a knee injury and Alabama struggling to get much going on the ground, Dear could be in line for a bigger workload when the Crimson Tide face Texas A&M. He flashed promise in his debut season, but his usage has dipped this year, and this matchup may finally give Alabama a better look at what he can do with real touches. [Read more 🡒]