There are still a few days left in the regular season, and the home run market is still offering real chances to cash.
That was the case Monday night, when Drew Gilbert delivered at +920 in a three-game slate. He finished 3-for-4 with a homer and three RBIs, giving the longest home run prop hit I’ve bet this season.
Tuesday is a different animal, with all 30 teams in action and a much bigger board to work with. That means more ways to find the right matchup, even if home run props are never simple.
Three names stand out to me for Tuesday night, starting with Arizona Diamondbacks second baseman Ketel Marte. He has a dream setup against the Colorado Rockies and left-hander Kyle Freeland.
Marte comes into the final week with 22 home runs and a .752 OPS, but the matchup is doing a lot of the heavy lifting here. Freeland has been blasted in 2026, carrying a 6.38 ERA while allowing 27 home runs in 25 appearances. He gave up three homers in his first start after coming off the injured list this month and has allowed six in his last three outings.
Marte has also handled lefties well this season, batting .301 with a .925 OPS and nine home runs in 136 at-bats against them. He’s had success against Freeland, too, going 17-for-51 with five doubles, a triple, three home runs and an OPS of 1.061 in his career. The price isn’t the shortest on the board, but the history and the opponent make Marte a strong play.
Another longer shot I’m willing to take is Atlanta Braves second baseman Ozzie Albies against the Cincinnati Reds and Brandon Williamson.
Albies has only two home runs over his last 25 games, but there are reasons to think he could pop here. Williamson has given up eight home runs in 10 appearances this season and owns a 5.56 ERA. Albies has posted eight home runs, a .277 batting average and a .743 OPS against left-handers in 2026, and he’s been seeing the ball better lately with four hits over his last five games.
The Braves have other names worth considering in this matchup, including Matt Olson and Ronald Acuna Jr., but Albies is the one I’m interested in as a value shot against a lefty with the Reds already eliminated from playoff contention.
Then there’s Pete Crow-Armstrong, who is sitting in a spot that’s tough to ignore even with wind expected to be a major factor at Wrigley Field. No player in that game is priced shorter than +583 to homer, but PCA is still close to 7/1 against Janson Junk.
Crow-Armstrong has been one of the biggest power bats in the sport this season, with 45 home runs and 12 over his last 24 games. In that stretch, he’s hitting .291 with a 1.044 OPS. He has done most of his damage against right-handed pitching, with 34 of his 45 home runs coming in those matchups, and Junk has had issues keeping the ball in the park, allowing 14 home runs in 24 appearances, including 23 starts.
The wind could wreck the number, sure. But the price on one of baseball’s best players is hard to ignore.
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
In Other News...
Pete Crow-Armstrong Is Chasing Cubs History With One Debate Hanging Over It
Pete Crow-Armstrong has put himself on the doorstep of a rare kind of season, one that would place him in one of baseballs most exclusive statistical clubs. With 45 home runs and 38 stolen bases already in hand, he needs two more steals to complete a 40/40 campaign, while also piling up 30 doubles and 107 RBIs along the way. It is the kind of all-around production that has turned every trip to the box and every time on base into part of a bigger chase.
The only lingering debate is how to frame it in an era when MLBs rule changes have made stolen bases more common across the sport. Crow-Armstrong still stands out as one of the few players to pair 30-plus doubles, 35-plus steals and 40-plus homers in a season, and that combination is what makes his run feel more impressive than the raw totals alone. For Cubs fans, the next theft or two would do more than complete a neat benchmark, because it would add another line to a season already drifting into franchise-history territory. [Read more 🡒]
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Bregman has not needed surgery and has already offered an update on social media, with a postseason return still in his hopes. Even so, the Cubs are left waiting on a recovery that now shapes not just the next few days, but the larger picture of how they manage the hot corner if the healing process stretches deeper into October. [Read more 🡒]
Cubs Wild Card Path Could Bring A Brutal Wrigley Problem
If the Cubs end up opening the postseason at Wrigley Field against Atlanta, one of the early matchup concerns will be Ozzie Albies. The Braves second baseman has been awfully comfortable in Chicago over the years, hitting .376 with eight home runs and 18 RBIs at Wrigley, a track record that stands out in a ballpark where October games tend to magnify every mistake.
For a Cubs club trying to line up its playoff path, that kind of history matters because it shapes how much attention the staff has to give Atlantas lineup from the first pitch. Even with other dangerous names in the mix, Albies has been the sort of hitter who can tilt a series at this venue, and if these teams do meet in the Wild Card Round, the Cubs may have to solve a very familiar problem in a very unforgiving setting. [Read more 🡒]