The Chicago Cubs’ bullpen has been hanging by a thread for a while now, and Jacob Webb’s injury may have just cut the last one.
Webb, who had become the reliever fans probably felt best about in late-game spots, left Wednesday’s 9-5 loss after taking a 102.5 MPH line drive off his right forearm in the ninth inning. Manager Craig Counsell said the x-rays came back negative, but that only tells part of the story. It does not guarantee Webb will be back anytime soon.
For a bullpen that has been in rough shape already, this is a brutal development. Since Aug. 19, Cubs relievers have posted a cumulative -0.5 fWAR, which ranks 29th in baseball, along with a 5.79 ERA that sits 26th.
The bigger picture for Chicago is pretty clear: this is an offense-driven team. Pete Crow-Armstrong, Alex Bregman and Seiya Suzuki have carried the lineup, giving the Cubs the league’s most potent group of position players. The pitching staff, on the other hand, has spent much of the season battling injuries and sits on the opposite end of the spectrum.
That’s not to say the Cubs have had an easy path. Losing Cade Horton, Justin Steele and Ben Brown would be a problem for any club, and Counsell and Tommy Hottovy have tried to piece things together as best they can.
There were some bright spots for a while. But that margin for error appears to be disappearing at exactly the wrong time as Chicago tries to secure a postseason berth.
Webb’s absence would likely push Daniel Palencia into the ninth inning, which is hardly an ideal answer given how shaky he has looked since returning from the injured list. Webb himself had not been dominant lately either - after his scoreless innings streak ended, he has a 21.00 ERA with seven earned runs allowed in just three innings.
Palencia’s recent struggles have been even more obvious. The most glaring example came Tuesday, when he entered in a critical spot, committed a balk, and then watched the situation unravel from there.
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The question now is whether the Cubs see enough to bring him back in a bullpen role for the postseason chase or decide the safer move is to keep waiting. The organization already opted to shut down Shelby Miller in a similar situation, which makes Steeles next turn feel especially important as the front office weighs short-term help against long-term caution. [Read more 🡒]
