Eduardo Rodriguez Has Changed Everything For The D Backs Rotation

Can Eduardo Rodriguez's impressive start help the Arizona Diamondbacks break their pitching slump despite signs of potential regression?

Eduardo Rodriguez has become the face of the Diamondbacks’ first-half pitching turnaround, and the fan vote reflected it.

Arizona’s rotation has been the club’s soft spot for years, but this season has offered something different. Entering play today, the D-backs carried an ERA+ of 103, and their 4.20 ERA was their best mark since 2018. That stands out after six straight seasons of below-average pitching, including the last time Arizona finished a full year at 100 or better in ERA+ back in 2019, when the team posted a 105.

Rodriguez is the biggest reason the numbers look that way. He wrapped up the first half with a 2.29 ERA, one of the lowest at the break in franchise history, and that was enough to run away with the first-half MVP vote in SB Nation Reacts.

The poll result wasn’t much of a shock. When a pitcher is carrying that kind of surface line, he’s going to draw the eye.

But the deeper indicators painted a more complicated picture. Rodriguez’s first-half FIP sat at 4.11, his xFIP at 4.54, and his xERA at 5.09.

Those numbers don’t erase what he already put on the board, but they do raise the question of how long the run can last.

The second half has already offered a taste of that concern. Rodriguez’s first start after the break was a rough one, as he didn’t make it through three innings and was hit for seven hits, two walks and five earned runs. He bounced back in his next outing with a quality start, though the 4:3 K:BB ratio didn’t exactly help quiet the underlying metrics.

Even so, the overall line still looks strong. Rodriguez’s ERA has climbed to 2.64, while the same peripheral stats now sit at 4.16, 4.58 and 4.99. The gap has narrowed a bit, but the warning signs remain.

If regression does come, the Diamondbacks will be hoping it shows up in games they still manage to win - like the comeback against St. Louis.

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